Special Big Cap highlights mammoth Saturday
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/108′ (P4, P3, DD)
Faves look best. Will use others as ‘B’s’ in P4..
Most Likely: #7 The B’s and E’s 5-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Mean Sax 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Sky Masterson 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 He’s Hollywood 8-1 4th
6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7.5f-T/36′ (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)
Master Wesley won’t be 12-1, but could still provide some value. Irksome 5yo bested our Toy Cannon here by a length and change last March..
Best Value: #2 Master Wesley Late SCR
Next Best: #4 United States Won 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Rapscallion 3-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Alakazan Alakazan 15-1 3rd
7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
Heady pedigrees on display here with Ron the Greek half Zahadoom debuting for Mott & Jack Hammer, Neck n’ Neck half Demander making 2nd start for Miles/Wilkes and Uncle Mo sib Souperfast back again for Mrs. Weber and Mott. Also of note is $1.6MM C. Brown/LaPenta Bernardini colt Sassicia (3-1) who has been a flashy workmate for Tampa Bay Derby player Cousin Stephen (9-2). Big effort would compliment barn pal..
Most Likely: #8 Sassicaia 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Souperfast 5-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Holy Wildcat 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 C J’s Awesome 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Appealing Alex 10-1 7th
8th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/108′ (P4, P3, DD)
Open set of turf maidens and fact that Serpe has drilled Sole Train 5x since January debut catches eye. Tiznow son out of Serpe’s nice I Lost My Choo exits even try versus next out Palm Beach vanquisher Gala Award and will be utterly ignored at the windows..
Best Value: #1 Sole Train 20-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Picozza 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #4 V. E. Day 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Giant’s Passion 8-1 10th
<$60 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 8 with 1,9 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,4 with 8 with 1,9 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 8 with 1,9 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 3,10 with 1,9 – $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 8 with 4 – $2.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 8 with 1,9 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,4 with 3,10 with 1,9 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,4 with 8 with 4 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 3,10 with 1,9 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 8 with 4 – $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 3,10 with 4 – $4.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,9 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 4,5 with 1,9 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 8 with 11,12 – $4.00
Total: $57.00
9th: Gulfstream Park H. (G2), 4+, 1m (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Palace Malice 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #2 Golden Ticket 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Falling Sky 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Itsmyluckyday 7-2 4th
10th: FL-ALW, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)
Most Likely: #3 R Free Roll 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Unlimited Budget 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Toasting 3-1 WON ($12.60)
11th: MCLM/$16k, 3+, 8.5f-T/108′ (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #3 Golden Rifle 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #6 Magnificent Moon 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Windworthy 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Rontos’ Dream 3-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Dragon Tail 12-1 5th
<$40 P6 Play:
6: 1-2/SCR–4-8-9
7: 3-8-10
8: 1-4-9
9: 8
10: 1-3
11: 3-6
5x3x3x1x2x2 = 180 x .20 = $36.00
<$65 P5 Play:
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,10 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 2 – $2.00
A’s with Two B’s
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,10 with 4,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,10 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 2 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 2 – $2.00
A’s with One C
8 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 10,11 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 2,4,7 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 5 with 3,6 – $2.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (2/9,13,14,15,16/1,8/5/3,8,10) Paid $12.20 (4OF5)
12 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 5,7 – $4.00
Total: $62.00
<$50 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 5 with 3,6 – $2.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (9,13,14,15,16/1,8/5/3,8,10) Paid $57.95
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 2,7 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11,12 with 8 with 5 with 3,6 – $3.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 2,7 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 5 with 2,7 – $2.00
A’s with One C
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 2,4,7 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 5 – $2.00
Total: $49.00
TAMPA BAY DOWNS
PRE-SCRATCHES
11th: 34th Tampa Bay Derby (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)
Curious assembly of somewhat talented colts and geldings and a race that is crying out for an alternative view. ML faves Surfing U S A (3-1), Conquest Titan (7-2) and Vinceremos (4-1) are all ‘OK’, but how much more imposing are they versus the next set of players on the line, Cousin Stephen (9-2), Matador (8-1) or Hy Kodiak Warrior/East Hall (10-1)? As always, pace will be decisive factor here and it sure feels like it’s liable to be pretty hot. Comebackers Tuscan Getaway and Coltimus Prime will be fresh and part of the pressure with both Pletchers and you can expect Cousin Stephen and Ring Weekend to be stalking the front foursome. Matador, Conquest Titan, Kodiak and East Hall comprise the back end and will all be looking for a way through in the late stages. Fun betting race and I want value..
Best Value: #3 Matador 8-1: Improved 1st dirt in Davis; Should drift up from 8-1.. 5th
Next Best: #8 Cousin Stephen 9-2: Worth another shot at better price.. 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Conquest Titan 7-2: Flattered by Intense Holiday’s Risen Star.. 4th
Super Add: #9 Hy Kodiak Warrior 10-1: Hot-working CRC trainee; G. Saez a liability.. 7th
SANTA ANITA PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
5th: 77th San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3)
Classy set even without Bayern and many rooting for California Chrome to continue storybook run. Midnight Hawk and Kristo arrive here as a matched set and Schoolofhardknocks is impressing everyone coming in to his 3yo debut. Savvy, accomplished David Hofmans would not be here if he didn’t think the Rock Hard Ten colt could hold his own..
Most Likely: #4 California Chrome 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #8 Schoolofhardknocks 9-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Midnight Hawk 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Kristo 5-2 3rd
6th: 11th China Doll, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3)
Excellent cast for $75k with stylish dolls Nashoba’s Gold, Diversy Harbor, On the Backstreets, Anniversary Kitty, etc..
Best Value: #7 NASHOBA’S GOLD 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 On the Backstreets 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Anniversary Kitty 12-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Screen Goddess 8-1 10th
7th: 76th San Carlos (G2), 4+, 7f (P3)
Didn’t like Sahara Sky return at all and he will have to show that he’s near his best before I’ll get back aboard. Stablemate Wild Dude carries mantle until then..
Most Likely: #6 Wild Dude 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Midnight Transfer 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Shakin It Up 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Sahara Sky 4-1 WON ($8.80)
8th: 14th Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3)
Most Likely: #9 Silentio 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Za Approval 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Suggestive Boy 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Winning Prize 7-2 WON ($9.60)
9th: 77th Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+,
Hallmark event has been touted for a few weeks now and it sure feels like it should live up to advance billing. Game On Dude will make lead here and there is potential for Mucho Macho Man to hook him at some point to open the door for Will Take Charge’s stalking voyage. Top pair are interchangeable with the Dude a ‘C’ option..
Most Likely: #2 Mucho Macho Man 9-5 4th
Best Value: #1 Will Take Charge 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Game On Dude 5-2 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Hear the Ghost 20-1 5th
10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)
Best Value: #9 Storm Fighter 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Oliver’s Tale 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Chief Lion 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Got Even 7-2 6th
11th: OC/C, 4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)
Utterly murderous finish to the card and the day.. GFL..
Best Value: #10 Footbridge 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Abbey Vale 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Jules Journey 7-2 6th
Super Add: #12 Presenceofagenius 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Kochees 8-1 11th
<$75 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 10 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 10 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 2,4 with 10 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 5,11 – $8.00
A’s with Two B’s
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,2 with 2,4 with 10 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 5,11 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 2,4 with 5,11 – $8.00
A’s with One C
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7,8 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 10 – $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 7 with 3,9 with 10 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 10 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 4,12 – $8.00
Total: $60.00