4/30 (CD): Kentucky Oaks Day Undercard

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by jms62

Third it!

P4 looks really tought.

Stop using my words hypocrite. Can't you come up with you're own thoughts?

[jms62]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Stop using my words hypocrite. Can't you come up with you're own thoughts?

I'm starting to see a trend also.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Is it totally insane to toss Blind Luck?

Toss is strong? Why toss? Taking a shot is one thing. Toss is another.

[brianwspencer]

Joe -- I'd say much depends on who you like in the other legs. If you're going to single Lookin at Lucky in the Derby, then maybe you're cruising for a chalky payoff if Blind Luck wins...but remember two things -- 1.) Lots of wacky money in any pool on any day that has the word "Derby" in it in Kentucky, so prices tend to be inflated as it is, and 2.) Aren't you going to feel stupid if you catch a 12-1 winner in the Woodford and a 20-1 winner in the Derby and don't have the even-money favorite to kick the thing off and miss out on that payday, which won't be small pickings even with Blind Luck in it?

The rest of the sequence would dictate how I'd play against her, if I were inclined to do so like you are.

Just my two cents.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

Joe -- I'd say much depends on who you like in the other legs. If you're going to single Lookin at Lucky in the Derby, then maybe you're cruising for a chalky payoff if Blind Luck wins...but remember two things -- 1.) Lots of wacky money in any pool on any day that has the word "Derby" in it in Kentucky, so prices tend to be inflated as it is, and 2.) Aren't you going to feel stupid if you catch a 12-1 winner in the Woodford and a 20-1 winner in the Derby and don't have the even-money favorite to kick the thing off and miss out on that payday, which won't be small pickings even with Blind Luck in it?

The rest of the sequence would dictate how I'd play against her, if I were inclined to do so like you are.

Just my two cents.

You can play a BL / all / L@L P3 and it will still pay 100 if the chalk wins the middle leg.

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by Scav

You can play a BL / all / L@L P3 and it will still pay 100 if the chalk wins the middle leg.

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

1.) Lots of wacky money in any pool on any day that has the word "Derby" in it in Kentucky, so prices tend to be inflated as it is

Right.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I think Loup Breton is a standout in the Turf race... I want to take a better look at it tomorrow, but from all the articles it looks like a really subpar group even a horse like Nicanor appears to be the LONE SPEED. The Derby... I wont be using more then 4, LAL is now a standout IMO, after the trip Gomez gave him last time I can see a clear stalking trip the entire way, kind of like POTN last year, and Gomez trying to win at as they turn for hime. I will back up with Awesome Act, Dublin and the filly. Thats really it I cant get on anyone else at this point.

You should play a 300$ P3 Blind Luck, Loup Need pace Breton, L@L.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Loup stinks LOL...
But who in that race is good?
I DONT LIKE BLIND LUCK.

How the hell do I know, the friggin race hasn't drawn yet....

[2MinsToPost]

Can I borrow a couple hundred dollars anyone, that card is great

Only kidding about the money

[Scav]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Im going on the 20 articles I have read on drf plus, blood horse and ntra...
It looks like Court Vision is chalk, Loup second choice and no one mentioned has any speed.

Why don't you handicap tomorrow and Thursday? Who knows, you might be selling plasma by Friday since you already sold your XBox

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by Scav

Why don't you handicap tomorrow and Thursday? Who knows, you might be selling plasma by Friday since you already sold your XBox

[DaTruth]

Originally Posted by Scav

Why don't you handicap tomorrow and Thursday? Who knows, you might be selling plasma by Friday since you already sold your XBox

You sold your xbox to get some jingle to bet?

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I think Loup Breton is a standout in the Turf race... I want to take a better look at it tomorrow, but from all the articles it looks like a really subpar group even a horse like Nicanor appears to be the LONE SPEED. The Derby... I wont be using more then 4, LAL is now a standout IMO, after the trip Gomez gave him last time I can see a clear stalking trip the entire way, kind of like POTN last year, and Gomez trying to win at as they turn for hime. I will back up with Awesome Act, Dublin and the filly. Thats really it I cant get on anyone else at this point.

Will wait to see PPs and such for the turf race, but I'm a big Loup Breton fan, so not sure I'm going to argue with you there...but I reserve the right to once entries are taken.

Point being, there's money to be made whether you play with or against Blind Luck -- it's just how MUCH you're thinking you need to get back to make you want to put your bet in. It may just not be worth leaving her out.

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I actually might use Nicanor a bit. LOL

Again, will reserve my final comments for tomorrow...

...but my initial comment to that is oh sweet jesus why am I even talking about this with you?

[mclem0822]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Is it totally insane to toss Blind Luck?

From a not wanting to take chalk, as short as BL will be nothing wrong with tossing. But too risky in my book, i'd rather toss a fav somewhere else in the sequence.