OAKS NOTES: Contenders (PP's-Post #26)

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by ibet2win

Most of the attention this time of the year is on the Derby, and rightly so, but i am really excited about the Oaks this year. Looks like a nice field of fillies shaping up. Besides Blind Luck who is a deserving favorite, who does everyone like?

Devil May Care is the filly to beat IMO.
I like the lightly raced filly who ran second in the Ashland, it sounds like shes going to the Oaks. It will be first time dirt and she will have to improve but I think shes going to be really good.

[ibet2win]

I like Devil May Care as well, her Bonnie Miss was impressive and she is definately gonna enjoy the dirt more than some others. Negligee and Beautician both ran so poorly in the Ashland it will be interesting to see if they try the race.

[JerseyJ]

I don't think any other horse has a chance to win the Oaks other than Blind Luck or Tidal Pool, as Blind Luck is probably the best horse in the race, whereas I think Tidal Pool is just as good as Devil May Care and Tidal Pool has the more favorable running style and I think may be better when she's able to have something to run at compared to being on the lead.

[the_fat_man]

Problem with Devil May Care is that she made the last move in a multi-move race. Now, people can bet her expecting that she, once again, gets a perfect trip. Of course, the problem with that is Blind Luck is a much better closer, having demonstrated that she can close against the grain, and would eat DMC up if the race were to collapse (or otherwise).

[NTamm1215]

I think Blind Luck is going to win the Oaks rather easily.

NT

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I think your wrong.

I think her lifetime high Beyer is almost as high as yours.

NT

[ibet2win]

i think thats wrong too, Blind Luck is very good but not unbeatable. I like the vibe though that spells great odds on some other talented performers. I have never been much of a Quiet Temper fan but she scares me some as a longshot contender.

[Indian Charlie]

Bickersons.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by JerseyJ

I don't think any other horse has a chance to win the Oaks other than Blind Luck or Tidal Pool, as Blind Luck is probably the best horse in the race, whereas I think Tidal Pool is just as good as Devil May Care and Tidal Pool has the more favorable running style and I think may be better when she's able to have something to run at compared to being on the lead.

DMC could sit the catbird trip and get jump on Blind Luck if anyone runs with Tidal Pool, I like TP myself, but to say they are both better then DMC is really simply not true. I think the more accurate comment would be that those 3 are the top 3 contenders right now, and no one else is really close.

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

DMC could sit the catbird trip and get jump on Blind Luck if anyone runs with Tidal Pool, I like TP myself, but to say they are both better then DMC is really simply not true. I think the more accurate comment would be that those 3 are the top 3 contenders right now, and no one else is really close.

See, I don't see Tidal Pool as a front runner...I see her best scenario when she can track something...I think because it was a very short field last time Borel put her on the lead...I fully expect a bit of a different trip from Borel in the Oaks, by sitting just off the flank of someone, much like her Oaklawn allowance win.

[rpncaine]

Just wondering. There is a possiblity that I can get off and make a run down 65 to Churchill for the Oaks Day card. Would I be able to get tickets? Is there a general admission and would I be able to get a spot to sit down?
Any thoughts would help.