Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-16-2010, 04:13 PM
DaTruth's Avatar
DaTruth DaTruth is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 1,969
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Baffert trained Zenyatta, would she be undefeated? Would she not be undefeated but have had a lot more aggrasive campaign? Races such as the Whitney and JCGC? Discuss....
She would be more than just the Megahertz of the SoCal synthetic tracks.
__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-16-2010, 04:14 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaTruth
She would be more than just the Megahertz of the SoCal synthetic tracks.
MegaherTz won a Grade 1 on dirt, beating a CHAMPION???
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-16-2010, 04:54 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

John Sheriff's is a GOD! He is the best trainer there ever was!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-16-2010, 06:41 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
John Sheriff's is a GOD! He is the best trainer there ever was!
Name one living that has more skill than him?

That's right ... you can't ... because there isn't anyone.

The guy has started almost 1,700 horses since '96 and shows a flat bet profit.

He won at a 40% clip for the entire year of 1999 - on what was easily the single toughest circuit year round circuit at the time - Southern California.

He won a Kentucky Derby with Giacomo - and a BC Distaff and BC Classic the same year with two females ... but none of any of that really matters.

What matters is what he did with first time starters in the late 90's when he trained for 505. The guy had very few babies .. and almost everyone of them ran mind-boggling in their debut.

He won at better than 50% with first-time-starters over a 3 years stretch from '98 through '00 (15-for-29) ... many of his debut winners paid generous mutuals .. and several of them won their debuts with triple digit Beyer figures. More than one of his took their debut with a 110 Beyer.

David Copperfield was 7/2 and outgamed future KY Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus in his debut winning with a mid 90's Beyer. What was he ... like only the 12th most impressive of his 29 debut runners over that span?

The guy consistantly got seriously good young horses to run lifetime best races off of nothing but workouts. I'm talking Graded Stakes caliber performances. Cliquot lost his debut by a nose to General Challenge at like 5/1. Swept Overboard got nipped by Here's Zealous and ran a 100 beyer in defeat in his debut. It very easily could have been 17-for-29 instead of 15-for-29 with four 2nds.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-16-2010, 06:42 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Name one living that has more skill than him?

That's right ... you can't ... because there isn't anyone.

The guy has started almost 1,700 horses since '96 and shows a flat bet profit.

He won at a 40% clip for the entire year of 1999 - on what was easily the single toughest circuit year round circuit at the time - Southern California.

He won a Kentucky Derby with Giacomo - and a BC Distaff and BC Classic the same year with two females ... but none of any of that really matters.

What matters is what he did with first time starters in the late 90's when he trained for 505. The guy had very few babies .. and almost everyone of them ran mind-boggling in their debut.

He won at better than 50% with first-time-starters over a 3 years stretch from '98 through '00 (15-for-29) ... many of his debut winners paid generous mutuals .. and several of them won their debuts with triple digit Beyer figures. More than one of his took their debut with a 110 Beyer.

David Copperfield was 7/2 and outgamed future KY Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus in his debut winning with a mid 90's Beyer. What was he ... like only the 12th most impressive of his 29 debut runners over that span?

The guy consistantly got seriously good young horses to run lifetime best races off of nothing but workouts. I'm talking Graded Stakes caliber performances. Cliquot lost his debut by a nose to General Challenge at like 5/1. Swept Overboard got nipped by Here's Zealous and ran a 100 beyer in defeat in his debut. It very easily could have been 17-for-29 instead of 15-for-29 with four 2nds.
BAFFERT
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-16-2010, 06:52 PM
DaTruth's Avatar
DaTruth DaTruth is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 1,969
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
BAFFERT
You make a compelling case.
__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-16-2010, 07:02 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaTruth
You make a compelling case.

Drugs is about to do it for me....
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-16-2010, 07:10 PM
justindew's Avatar
justindew justindew is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 1,640
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

He won at better than 50% with first-time-starters over a 3 years stretch from '98 through '00 (15-for-29) ... many of his debut winners paid generous mutuals .. and several of them won their debuts with triple digit Beyer figures. More than one of his took their debut with a 110 Beyer.

David Copperfield was 7/2 and outgamed future KY Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus in his debut winning with a mid 90's Beyer. What was he ... like only the 12th most impressive of his 29 debut runners over that span?
Seriously? Multiple 110 Beyer debuts? Who?

...and....

Are you sure that was David Copperfields debut?

Not arguing. Just asking.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-16-2010, 07:15 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by justindew
Seriously? Multiple 110 Beyer debuts? Who?

...and....

Are you sure that was David Copperfields debut?

Not arguing. Just asking.

Please dont question Doug, he is beyond that. Come see me and if I find it legit, I will go to him with the problem.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-16-2010, 08:46 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Please dont question Doug, he is beyond that. Come see me and if I find it legit, I will go to him with the problem.
Can I use this as a sig?
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-16-2010, 07:34 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by justindew
Seriously? Multiple 110 Beyer debuts? Who?

...and....

Are you sure that was David Copperfields debut?

Not arguing. Just asking.
Yeah. Hook And Ladder won his debut at 7/2 with a 110 Beyer for him.

The giant filly Manistique won her debut by 11 lengths at 6/1 odds with a 110.


http://www.hopewellfarm.com/news.shtml

Quote:
DAVID COPPERFIELD began his career in flamboyant style. He defeated $4 million yearling and future Kentucky Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus at Hollywood Park in his initial start. He moved through his conditions quickly, placing in the $250,000 California Derby in his first stakes try and taking the Cinema H.-G3 in his next start. Initially racing for 505 Farms, he was temporarily taken out of training to sell in Marshall Naify’s estate dispersal sale as a 3-year-old, where he realized a phenomenal $2.6 million. He continued his career for The Thoroughbred Corp. and won or placed in a total of eight stakes, six of which were graded, including the Hollywood Derby-G1, Oak Tree Derby-G2, San Gabriel-G2, and Bay Meadows Breeders’ Cup-G3.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-16-2010, 07:14 PM
Scurlogue Champ's Avatar
Scurlogue Champ Scurlogue Champ is offline
Formerly 'moodwalker'
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Louisville
Posts: 1,727
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Name one living that has more skill than him?

That's right ... you can't ... because there isn't anyone.

The guy has started almost 1,700 horses since '96 and shows a flat bet profit.

He won at a 40% clip for the entire year of 1999 - on what was easily the single toughest circuit year round circuit at the time - Southern California.

He won a Kentucky Derby with Giacomo - and a BC Distaff and BC Classic the same year with two females ... but none of any of that really matters.

What matters is what he did with first time starters in the late 90's when he trained for 505. The guy had very few babies .. and almost everyone of them ran mind-boggling in their debut.

He won at better than 50% with first-time-starters over a 3 years stretch from '98 through '00 (15-for-29) ... many of his debut winners paid generous mutuals .. and several of them won their debuts with triple digit Beyer figures. More than one of his took their debut with a 110 Beyer.

David Copperfield was 7/2 and outgamed future KY Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus in his debut winning with a mid 90's Beyer. What was he ... like only the 12th most impressive of his 29 debut runners over that span?

The guy consistantly got seriously good young horses to run lifetime best races off of nothing but workouts. I'm talking Graded Stakes caliber performances. Cliquot lost his debut by a nose to General Challenge at like 5/1. Swept Overboard got nipped by Here's Zealous and ran a 100 beyer in defeat in his debut. It very easily could have been 17-for-29 instead of 15-for-29 with four 2nds.
Bart Cummings.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 03-16-2010, 07:38 PM
dagolfer33's Avatar
dagolfer33 dagolfer33 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Posts: 2,524
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scurlogue Champ
Bart Cummings.
I think they mean on this continent, but I do hear what you are saying....he wins huge races.
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 03-16-2010, 08:00 PM
DaTruth's Avatar
DaTruth DaTruth is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 1,969
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dagolfer33
I think they mean on this continent, but I do hear what you are saying....he wins huge races.
Nice avatar. Too bad that clown is blocking our view of the young lady.
__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there!
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 03-16-2010, 08:23 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Name one living that has more skill than him?

That's right ... you can't ... because there isn't anyone.

The guy has started almost 1,700 horses since '96 and shows a flat bet profit.

He won at a 40% clip for the entire year of 1999 - on what was easily the single toughest circuit year round circuit at the time - Southern California.

He won a Kentucky Derby with Giacomo - and a BC Distaff and BC Classic the same year with two females ... but none of any of that really matters.

What matters is what he did with first time starters in the late 90's when he trained for 505. The guy had very few babies .. and almost everyone of them ran mind-boggling in their debut.

He won at better than 50% with first-time-starters over a 3 years stretch from '98 through '00 (15-for-29) ... many of his debut winners paid generous mutuals .. and several of them won their debuts with triple digit Beyer figures. More than one of his took their debut with a 110 Beyer.

David Copperfield was 7/2 and outgamed future KY Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus in his debut winning with a mid 90's Beyer. What was he ... like only the 12th most impressive of his 29 debut runners over that span?

The guy consistantly got seriously good young horses to run lifetime best races off of nothing but workouts. I'm talking Graded Stakes caliber performances. Cliquot lost his debut by a nose to General Challenge at like 5/1. Swept Overboard got nipped by Here's Zealous and ran a 100 beyer in defeat in his debut. It very easily could have been 17-for-29 instead of 15-for-29 with four 2nds.
My point was that while Sheriffs is an excellent trainer, he is not the only trainer capable of campaigning a great horse like Zenyatta, surely there are a number of others who are as well. But I am glad that you crunched the numbers, though.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 03-16-2010, 08:51 PM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
The guy consistantly got seriously good young horses to run lifetime best races off of nothing but workouts. I'm talking Graded Stakes caliber performances. Cliquot lost his debut by a nose to General Challenge at like 5/1.
Cliquot was so impressive in defeat that race, I bet him for the Derby.

He actually had GC beat but got stupid late, lost his momentum and barely lost.

That was a pretty nice horse.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 03-16-2010, 09:06 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

If Baffert had Zenyatta she would have been working bullets at 2 and would have never started later than Oak Tree and its highly unlikely she has anything close to the career she has had. Thats not a knock really, Baffert has a operation geared completely different than Shirreffs.
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 03-17-2010, 08:21 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
If Baffert had Zenyatta she would have been working bullets at 2 and would have never started later than Oak Tree and its highly unlikely she has anything close to the career she has had. Thats not a knock really, Baffert has a operation geared completely different than Shirreffs.
Yeah - it's very possible it could have happened like that.

Zenyatta was just a $60,000 yearling ... anyone who thinks Shirreffs hasn't done a masterful job of managing her to a 15-for-15 with 13 Graded Stakes record is downright insane.

My favorite book is Art of War... to quote that...

Quote:
To win one hundred victories in one hundred battles is not the acme of skill. To subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of skill.

Hence to fight and conquer in all your battles is not supreme excellence; supreme excellence consists in breaking the enemy's resistance without fighting.

The best victory is when the opponent surrenders of its own accord before there are any actual hostilities... It is best to win without fighting
Because of what happened last weekend with Zardana and Zenyatta ... the Zeyatta/Rachel Alexandra debate might as well be dead and the Zenyatta camp has won. The RA camp backed off and the race isn't happening.

It doesn't matter that Rachel Alexandra ran the better race of the two last weekend IMO - and that Rachel Alexandra was far more likely to step forward in the Apple Blossom than Zenyatta was leaving closer friendly Pro-Ride for real dirt.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 03-17-2010, 01:06 PM
scat daddy
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Name one living that has more skill than him?

That's right ... you can't ... because there isn't anyone.

The guy has started almost 1,700 horses since '96 and shows a flat bet profit.

He won at a 40% clip for the entire year of 1999 - on what was easily the single toughest circuit year round circuit at the time - Southern California.

He won a Kentucky Derby with Giacomo - and a BC Distaff and BC Classic the same year with two females ... but none of any of that really matters.

What matters is what he did with first time starters in the late 90's when he trained for 505. The guy had very few babies .. and almost everyone of them ran mind-boggling in their debut.

He won at better than 50% with first-time-starters over a 3 years stretch from '98 through '00 (15-for-29) ... many of his debut winners paid generous mutuals .. and several of them won their debuts with triple digit Beyer figures. More than one of his took their debut with a 110 Beyer.

David Copperfield was 7/2 and outgamed future KY Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus in his debut winning with a mid 90's Beyer. What was he ... like only the 12th most impressive of his 29 debut runners over that span?

The guy consistantly got seriously good young horses to run lifetime best races off of nothing but workouts. I'm talking Graded Stakes caliber performances. Cliquot lost his debut by a nose to General Challenge at like 5/1. Swept Overboard got nipped by Here's Zealous and ran a 100 beyer in defeat in his debut. It very easily could have been 17-for-29 instead of 15-for-29 with four 2nds.
Sounds like GOD is ahead of the pack with lets say..."new" technologies that might permit horses to perform a lot better.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 03-16-2010, 04:58 PM
letswastemoney's Avatar
letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Turlock, CA
Posts: 2,561
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
MegaherTz won a Grade 1 on dirt, beating a CHAMPION???
Brownie Points beat a champion that day as well. Ginger Punch just didn't fire
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:36 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.