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#1
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__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there! |
#2
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#3
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![]() John Sheriff's is a GOD! He is the best trainer there ever was!
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#4
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That's right ... you can't ... because there isn't anyone. The guy has started almost 1,700 horses since '96 and shows a flat bet profit. He won at a 40% clip for the entire year of 1999 - on what was easily the single toughest circuit year round circuit at the time - Southern California. He won a Kentucky Derby with Giacomo - and a BC Distaff and BC Classic the same year with two females ... but none of any of that really matters. What matters is what he did with first time starters in the late 90's when he trained for 505. The guy had very few babies .. and almost everyone of them ran mind-boggling in their debut. He won at better than 50% with first-time-starters over a 3 years stretch from '98 through '00 (15-for-29) ... many of his debut winners paid generous mutuals .. and several of them won their debuts with triple digit Beyer figures. More than one of his took their debut with a 110 Beyer. David Copperfield was 7/2 and outgamed future KY Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus in his debut winning with a mid 90's Beyer. What was he ... like only the 12th most impressive of his 29 debut runners over that span? The guy consistantly got seriously good young horses to run lifetime best races off of nothing but workouts. I'm talking Graded Stakes caliber performances. Cliquot lost his debut by a nose to General Challenge at like 5/1. Swept Overboard got nipped by Here's Zealous and ran a 100 beyer in defeat in his debut. It very easily could have been 17-for-29 instead of 15-for-29 with four 2nds. |
#5
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#6
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__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there! |
#7
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Drugs is about to do it for me.... |
#8
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...and.... Are you sure that was David Copperfields debut? Not arguing. Just asking. |
#9
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Please dont question Doug, he is beyond that. Come see me and if I find it legit, I will go to him with the problem. |
#10
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#11
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The giant filly Manistique won her debut by 11 lengths at 6/1 odds with a 110. http://www.hopewellfarm.com/news.shtml Quote:
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#12
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#13
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__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk |
#14
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__________________
Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there! |
#15
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#16
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He actually had GC beat but got stupid late, lost his momentum and barely lost. That was a pretty nice horse. |
#17
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![]() If Baffert had Zenyatta she would have been working bullets at 2 and would have never started later than Oak Tree and its highly unlikely she has anything close to the career she has had. Thats not a knock really, Baffert has a operation geared completely different than Shirreffs.
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"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire |
#18
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Zenyatta was just a $60,000 yearling ... anyone who thinks Shirreffs hasn't done a masterful job of managing her to a 15-for-15 with 13 Graded Stakes record is downright insane. My favorite book is Art of War... to quote that... Quote:
It doesn't matter that Rachel Alexandra ran the better race of the two last weekend IMO - and that Rachel Alexandra was far more likely to step forward in the Apple Blossom than Zenyatta was leaving closer friendly Pro-Ride for real dirt. |
#19
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#20
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