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#21
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I'm still not convinced this contest is kosher. Everything has scored for me OK, but that's not the issue. The leader currently has 10,672 points- which sounded awfully high to me given that a fair number of horses aren't even available for selection (for example, the top two finishers in the Kilroe.) I looked at the stakes today to determine the maximum available points to date (assuming that allowance/claiming results are really irrelevant given the point structure):
Big Cap- G1 misremembered 2500 jeranimo 1000 SA Oaks- G1 crisp 2500 blind luck 1500 cozie rosie 500 Sham- G3 alphies 500 setsuko 400 the program 300 Palm Beach- G3 paddy 500 dean's 400 asphalt 200 bim bam 100 Herecomesthebride- G3 --- Gotham- G3 awesome act 500 nacho friend 300 turf melody 200 shrimp dancer 100 Toboggan- G3 custom for carlos 400 Azeri- G3 --- Razorback- G3 gone astray 300 Cappy golden ghost 225 Pasadena mmfm 375 macias 300 alfarabi 225 runaway bandido 75 gentilly heavenville 300 So given these results, the MAXIMUM point value for 12 horses today would have been 10,575- Misremembered 2500 Crisp 2500 Blind Luck 1500 Jeranimo 1000 Alphies 500 Awesome Act 500 Cozie Rosie 500 Paddy O' 500 Setsuko 400 Dean's Kitten 400 Custom for Carlos 400 Make Music for Me 375 In essence, he would have had to use ALL of his horses today, and not only that but select the absolute best possible outcome (or very close to it, given the maximum jockey points to date is about 300.) It seems statistically unlikely that someone would (a) actually use all of their horses on the first day, and (b) have the correct outcome with it.
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