Current Derby Odds

[robfla]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

You shouldn't be surprised. The odds this early have very little meaning. There's almost no chance that IWR will go at 5-1 and Dunkirk at 8-1.

The closing tote odds will be much closer to the current best futures than to the miniscule amount of early betting. Here were the best futures as of a few hours ago:

W.Side Bernie 45-1
Musket Man 25-1
Mr Hot Stuff 35-1
Advice 35-1
Hold Me Back 25-1
Friesan Fire 5-1
Papa Clem 18-1
Mine That Bird 99-1
Join in the Dance 99-1
Regal Ransom 17-1
Choc Candy 18-1
Gen Quarters 25-1
I Want Revenge 3-1
Atomic Rain 90-1
Dunkirk 9-2
POTN 5-1
SummerBird 45-1
NowhereHide 99-1
Desert Party 16-1
Fly Private 90-1

(I've adjusted them to a 16% takeout.)

--Dunbar

as it has been the last several years, yesterday's odds are not too far off of today's current odds

1 =30
2 =19
3 = 25
4 =45
5 =12
6 =7/2
7 =13
8 = 45
9 = 45
10 = 22
11= 9
12 = 9
13 = XXX
14 =50
15 = 6
16 = 6
17 = 40
18 = 40
19 =15
20 =40

Choc Candy, and GQ holding sway at 9:1 each, with Dunkirk and POTN lowered just a bit...Hold Me Back same as yesterday

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by robfla

as it has been the last several years, yesterday's odds are not too far off of today's current odds

1 =30
2 =19
3 = 25
4 =45
5 =12
6 =7/2
7 =13
8 = 45
9 = 45
10 = 22
11= 9
12 = 9
13 = XXX
14 =50
15 = 6
16 = 6
17 = 40
18 = 40
19 =15
20 =40

Choc Candy, and GQ holding sway at 9:1 each, with Dunkirk and POTN lowered just a bit...Hold Me Back same as yesterday

You were right. The early odds were pretty good estimators of the final odds. I especially didn't expect GQ to stay low. And while Dunkirk's odds dropped to 5.2-1 from the early 8-1, some of that was due to IWR's scratch.

--Dunbar