Who will be the "wise guy" horse???

[philcski]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Maybe Dollar Bill wasn't a wiseguy horse in that case ... although I guess it's possible he could have looked good the week of the race and everything like that.

The stretch trouble he had in his 4th place finish behind Fifty Stars was shown over and over on tv. And the drubbing he took in the Blue Grass by Millenium Wind was rightly disregarded by all the commentators because of the track playing against him.

He would seem like the all-time classic example by my definition.

Being the 2nd choice - and a shorter price than horses like Congaree, Monarchos, Balto Star etc etc off of a 4th to Fifty Stars and a distant 3rd to Millennium Wind - and after taking a total beating in the BC Juvenile over that track the prior year.

He is the all-time classic example to me as well. Usually the chatter starts with workouts or looks but in his case it was trips discussion (as you said, they showed it over and over on tv). I have no idea what he looked like that week- it was really before live blogging, twitter coverage, whatever gave you an update on the color and consistency of each horses' dumps.

Basically my definition is "what are his odds relative to the actual ability he's shown" and a wiseguy horse would be one that gets bet down from say 25-1 to at or under 10-1.