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#1
04-19-2009, 02:06 PM
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Nice call Cappy, I am glad that you beat the underlaid Three in the Bag here.
The 9th is a real skullbuster if you ask me. You have the 8 who beat open company in the last and the 2nd and 3rd finishers last out ran well against the pace dynamics of the 4th race. Then you have the 7 who had trouble early in the last and is coming up from Gulfstream as well but ran a sold race two back in Tampa. Then you have the 1 and 9 who both ran smart races when they have gotten the opportunity to race on firm ground, the 1 goes for Bush who is certainly capable of winning off the bench and this one can certainly improve from 2 to 3 years old. The 9 goes for the red hot Donk on turf. Then you have the 2 who runs for weaver who 3/7 going Dirt to Turf off the layoff at a 43% clip with the small sample with a $10.54 ROI for Weaver as pointed out on Talking Horses. Then you have Debbie's Fast Girl who runs sold numbers each time out but may be just a little outclassed here but certainly not out of it.  
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#2
04-19-2009, 02:17 PM
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[quote=pointman]Nice call Cappy, I am glad that you beat the underlaid Three in the Bag here.
The 9th is a real skullbuster if you ask me. You have the 8 who beat open company in the last and the 2nd and 3rd finishers last out ran well against the pace dynamics of the 4th race. Then you have the 7 who had trouble early in the last and is coming up from Gulfstream as well but ran a sold race two back in Tampa. Then you have the 1 and 9 who both ran smart races when they have gotten the opportunity to race on firm ground, the 1 goes for Bush who is certainly capable of winning off the bench and this one can certainly improve from 2 to 3 years old. The 9 goes for the red hot Donk on turf. Then you have the 2 who runs for weaver who 3/7 going Dirt to Turf off the layoff at a 43% clip with the small sample with a $10.54 ROI for Weaver as pointed out on Talking Horses. Then you have Debbie's Fast Girl who runs sold numbers each time out but may be just a little outclassed here but certainly not out of it. :zz You are right about the 7 and 8 in the 9th. The 8 should move forward off her last and has Dominguez on board for Tagg who has had a surprisingly terrible meet here. Chorus Music is the logical second choice and may love the firm ground going a little longer. If I went for a third choice it would be Debbie. Generally the shippers up from Florida are usually a good angle to consider this time of year. i think anyway.
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Ron Thompson   Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
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#4
04-19-2009, 02:26 PM
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Quote:
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Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
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#6
04-19-2009, 02:31 PM
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Quote:
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Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
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#7
04-19-2009, 02:33 PM
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Quote:
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Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
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#8
04-19-2009, 02:44 PM
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That is true. I am glad we got through the 6th, Cappy, I really wanted to get Jello Shot through there. There was certainly some cause for pause with Andy going to Monte Carlo (I can't imagine how much he just crushed that exacta), but I really thought Jello Shot could beat these and at 12-1 he was worth using. The McLaughlin is the one who proved he didn't belong on the ticket and I am always dubious with horses with that kind of improvement from 1st to 2nd start, but he is so tough second and third start out. This leg worries me, but I think Yario is an underlay and I don't like here. I am praying to get through, but even the 8th worries me a bit today as I think even the 5 and 6 have a shot to win there. The 5 in particular if he can find some of that back form and he certainly likes the track, will be an overlay, but it is still a tough race. Herk is the smart one here who singled Monte Carlo and spread more in the last 3.
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#10
04-19-2009, 02:52 PM
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Why is Thunder Minister only 15:1 here?
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#11
04-19-2009, 02:50 PM
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Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
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#12
04-19-2009, 02:53 PM
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#13
04-19-2009, 02:56 PM
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pic 3
3,7,8,9//3,6,7//5,7,8
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Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
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