Derby AE List

[Merlinsky]

Originally Posted by wac

Drugs, i agree wiht you i call it "looking for Giacomo" syndrome. People get so scared about missing out on some huge hit they bet horses that should legit be 60-1 down to 30-1 or even lower. Its happened every year since Giacomo and is pretty odd. Course when you see the odds lower on a horse that you threw out you start wondering what am i missing?? Leads to good comments in the betting lines.

Oh dear, Monba flashbacks.

[Merlinsky]

Isn't there a way to manipulate the process? Like you have an 'ought to be ruled out' horse that you don't really admit is gonna have to scratch but you keep em in, then wait til it's too late to let in an AE, then they scratch and you've kept someone out on purpose?

Danthebluegrassman was Baffert keeping someone else out. Sunday Break was it?

[justindew]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

Isn't there a way to manipulate the process? Like you have an 'ought to be ruled out' horse that you don't really admit is gonna have to scratch but you keep em in, then wait til it's too late to let in an AE, then they scratch and you've kept someone out on purpose?

Danthebluegrassman was Baffert keeping someone else out. Sunday Break was it?

Danthebluegrassman's late entry kept Windward Passage out. It'sallinthechase was also entered that year, and he kept Sunday Break out.

[Thunder Gulch]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

Isn't there a way to manipulate the process? Like you have an 'ought to be ruled out' horse that you don't really admit is gonna have to scratch but you keep em in, then wait til it's too late to let in an AE, then they scratch and you've kept someone out on purpose?

Danthebluegrassman was Baffert keeping someone else out. Sunday Break was it?

I know what you are saying and there certainly may be some level of gamesmanship, but my point I'm sticking to is that the owners of Sunday Break and Windward Passage knew the rules and didn't properly place their horses to get the earnings required...and no, neither of them had much of a chance.

Good discussion guys. I really agree with what a lot of you are saying about having the best fields and all, and there is probably no effect of having the AE list to fill a scratch, even after the draw.