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Old 02-10-2009, 11:09 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
There is no real correlation. If it's a dirt horse that happens to handle the synthetic surface, the figure will be higher on the dirt, and if it's a turf horse that won't handle dirt, then the figure has no predictive power for future dirt races. The horses that won on synthetics that later won dirt races were hampered by the synthetics, in all likelihood, whether they won on them or not. As an extreme, look at Zenyatta. Her dirt race last year was far and away her most impressive win. It's a shame we can't see her really strut her stuff on the dirt. It might be extremely exciting....as she may well be being muted running only on synthetics.
exactly. it's my contention that those saying beyers are misleading on awt is incorrect. the only time it's misleading would be when trying to take an awt # and figure whether a horse will run back to that # on dirt. but i think many are just saying no awt beyer is useful-i just think it depends on where and when you're using it. obviously potn likes awt-so why anyone would toss his beyer # on that surface is beyond me.
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