State by State

[jwkniska]

with Palin as McCain's running mate, no way does he carry OH. Obama will carry downtown Cleveland, Columbus and maybe Cincy (unions and black vote)... no way does he carry any rural county. He'll lose the veteran (which Ohio has a ton of) and male vote by a wide margin and with a pro-life woman on the ticket, will lose the women vote too.

If they chose Hillary, Obama could have won it (the rural women would vote for Hillary over Obama... as they did in the primary or over McCain), but will now almost all vote for McCain since there's a pro-life woman on the ticket. They would have looked past the pro-life part for Hillary, but with them not taking her, the democrats will lose the state... probably by a wider margin than most will expect too.

Grew up there and know the area and the way the people will vote.

I will say one thing for Obama though... he's better off in Ohio by himself, because the type of person that Biden is... is exactly what they cannot stand.