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Old 05-18-2008, 12:43 PM
Zippy Chippy Zippy Chippy is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 67
Default Useless information . . .

Forgive me for having too much time on my hands, but I was curious to see what the odds of one broodmare foaling the winner of a race like the Belmont three years in a row.

Using an rough estimate of 35,000 foals per year:
The odds of a broodmare foaling one Belmont winner is 1 in 35,000.
The odds of a broodmare foaling two consecutive Belmont winners is 1 in 1,225,000,000.
The odds of a broodmare foaling three consecutive Belmont winners is 1 in 42,875,000,000,000.

I'm no mathematician, so take it for what it's worth. Either way, it could be historic Belmont. If Casino Drive does pull it off, then Better Than Honor will have beaten some incredible odds.
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