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  #1  
Old 05-03-2008, 05:53 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Wow. We don't even wait an hour to begin this conversation anymore huh?

He was certainly impressive today, but he doesn't strike me as an ideal candidate for the Belmont.

However, it might be nice to know who is actually going to run in those races before handicapping them.
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  #2  
Old 05-03-2008, 05:55 PM
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Was actually meaning it as a joke...Kiwi humour not as funny as we think it is I guess.
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  #3  
Old 05-03-2008, 05:55 PM
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There isn't a horse who can beat him if you count current form.

Will he hold together is the real question.
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  #4  
Old 05-03-2008, 06:16 PM
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estreetposse estreetposse is offline
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Will win the Crown
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  #5  
Old 05-03-2008, 06:26 PM
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I hope not man, cause this horse is on his way to putting all the lazy/uniformed handicapper cliches to rest.

1) can't win from the 12 at GP
DONE

2) inexperienced horses can't win the derby ---look at CURLIN
DONE

3) can't win from the 20 hole at CD

DONE

4) inexperienced horses can't win the Preakness on short rest
??

5) ditto; and progeny index says he can't get the distance ---BELMONT
??

I can see all the BIGTIMERS next year (and on) not being able to rely on cliches when they can't get a gauge on a horse. Gonna be brutal, whether BB wins the TC or not. Imagine all that extra work.
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  #6  
Old 05-03-2008, 06:40 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I hope not man, cause this horse is on his way to putting all the lazy/uniformed handicapper cliches to rest.

1) can't win from the 12 at GP
DONE

2) inexperienced horses can't win the derby ---look at CURLIN
DONE

3) can't win from the 20 hole at CD


DONE

4) inexperienced horses can't win the Preakness on short rest
??

5) ditto; and progeny index says he can't get the distance ---BELMONT
??

I can see all the BIGTIMERS next year (and on) not being able to rely on cliches when they can't get a gauge on a horse. Gonna be brutal, whether BB wins the TC or not. Imagine all that extra work.
Were there really a lot of people saying that he "can't win" before the race? Maybe so, but I sure didn't encounter much of it here.
I mean, the horse was both the ML and Post-Time favorite as well, so it wasn't exactly like a lot of people were completely dismissing his chances because of post-position or inexperience.

I just want to make sure that you don't think you were the only person in the country that thought this horse could win. Based on your post, it sure seems like you think that way.
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  #7  
Old 05-03-2008, 06:49 PM
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Because we dont get times etc down here for american races i could only go on replays on utube etc of past runs & to me Big Browns win was the best run by a long shot & considering he hasnt had anything in his favor on both his races i think he is a contender
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  #8  
Old 05-03-2008, 06:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
Were there really a lot of people saying that he "can't win" before the race? Maybe so, but I sure didn't encounter much of it here.
I mean, the horse was both the ML and Post-Time favorite as well, so it wasn't exactly like a lot of people were completely dismissing his chances because of post-position or inexperience.

I just want to make sure that you don't think you were the only person in the country that thought this horse could win. Based on your post, it sure seems like you think that way.
You really need to take a step back and think about the content of my post, as it seems I struck a nerve.

The horse might've been the chalk and alot of EXPERTS went as far as saying he had the most ability BUT they stopped short of a full endorsement because of the points mentioned. I'm just tired of hearing these same old tired cliches used when someone doesn't have an opinion. Either you like a horse or you don't. Either you like the odds or you don't. Either you have an opinion or you don't. If you can't analyze the race, sit down. Oh, and the other cliche I forgot to mention: this year's race is not exciting because the horses aren't fast enough. WTF does that mean? 150,000 showed up.

But, for EXPERTS to come out strongly for Colonel John, or Visionaire, or Tale of Ekati, is a ****in joke.



Get my drift?
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  #9  
Old 05-03-2008, 06:59 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
You really need to take a step back and think about the content of my post, as it seems I struck a nerve.

The horse might've been the chalk and alot of EXPERTS went as far as saying he had the most ability BUT they stopped short of a full endorsement because of the points mentioned. I'm just tired of hearing these same old tired cliches used when someone doesn't have an opinion. Either you like a horse or you don't. Either you like the odds or you don't. Either you have an opinion or you don't. If you can't analyze the race, sit down. Oh, and the other cliche I forgot to mention: this year's race is not exciting because the horses aren't fast enough. WTF does that mean? 150,000 showed up.

But, for EXPERTS to come out strongly for Colonel John, or Visionaire, or Tale of Ekati, is a ****in joke.



Get my drift?
sorry, but you are really a huge blowhard.
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  #10  
Old 05-03-2008, 07:38 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
You really need to take a step back and think about the content of my post, as it seems I struck a nerve.

The horse might've been the chalk and alot of EXPERTS went as far as saying he had the most ability BUT they stopped short of a full endorsement because of the points mentioned. I'm just tired of hearing these same old tired cliches used when someone doesn't have an opinion. Either you like a horse or you don't. Either you like the odds or you don't. Either you have an opinion or you don't. If you can't analyze the race, sit down. Oh, and the other cliche I forgot to mention: this year's race is not exciting because the horses aren't fast enough. WTF does that mean? 150,000 showed up.

But, for EXPERTS to come out strongly for Colonel John, or Visionaire, or Tale of Ekati, is a ****in joke.
Get my drift?
If you just mean that people should handicap the race instead of using peculiar and useless "Derby angles," I agree with you.
However, I don't think picking somebody like Colonel John to win this race qualified as a "****ing joke."

I guess I am just confused by why you come on here with a big "I-told-everybody-so" type of post after a big favorite wins a race. You did the same thing after the Florida Derby. I have no problem with people being excited when they pick a winner. They should be.
But the "all the experts are crazy and need to change their ways" attitude just seems a little misplaced and rather strange in this particular situation.
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  #11  
Old 05-03-2008, 07:31 PM
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Default The Pros Don't Know Anymore Than You!!!

Hello Handicappers,
Iv'e Heard For Weeks From All The Writers And Pundits How Big Brown Had No Bottom, Beyer Said This , He Hasn't Had A Derby Pick In 20 Yrs. How To Inexperience He Was. I'll Take
Talent Over That Anytime. They All Saw The Same Race I Did In Florida Out Of The 12 Hole And How He Did It. No Horse This Year Has Come Close To This Performance. I Touted Him From The Get-go,
That's Right I'll Blow My Own Horn. Steve Davidowitz Blogs, Chat Rooms And Forums Are For The Fans , Not Professional Writers As You Suggest, Hell You What All The Attention.
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  #12  
Old 05-03-2008, 07:34 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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oh, shut the hell up
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  #13  
Old 05-03-2008, 08:19 PM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sdjcom
Hello Handicappers,
Iv'e Heard For Weeks From All The Writers And Pundits How Big Brown Had No Bottom, Beyer Said This , He Hasn't Had A Derby Pick In 20 Yrs. How To Inexperience He Was. I'll Take
Talent Over That Anytime. They All Saw The Same Race I Did In Florida Out Of The 12 Hole And How He Did It. No Horse This Year Has Come Close To This Performance. I Touted Him From The Get-go,
That's Right I'll Blow My Own Horn. Steve Davidowitz Blogs, Chat Rooms And Forums Are For The Fans , Not Professional Writers As You Suggest, Hell You What All The Attention.
wow ... you picked a 5-2 shot in the derby....you are an expert! i lost.... do i care.....hell no i'll bet against the favorite next year too. just the way i bet. but when i win it pays more than 7 dollars.
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  #14  
Old 05-03-2008, 07:18 PM
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sdjcom sdjcom is offline
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Dosen't Seem Like A Candidate For The Belmont? You Are Just A Natural Pessimist. If After His Last Two Races At So Disadvantage
Post Positions, And The Ease He Beat The Best 3 Yr Olds , I Know You Are A Amateur And Don't Have The Eye For It. Sorry But I Just Had To Say That. Everyone On This Forum Took Shots At Him After What He Did In Fla Out Of Pp 12. What Does He Have To Do Fly In The Sky?????????????????
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  #15  
Old 05-03-2008, 07:36 PM
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To answer the original question:

Please God, no.

I've never rooted so hard against a Triple Crown winner as I will be this horse. Between the super light foundation, the crooked trainer, and the obnoxious owners, I just can't do it.
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  #16  
Old 05-03-2008, 07:46 PM
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Rileyoriley Rileyoriley is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
To answer the original question:

Please God, no.

I've never rooted so hard against a Triple Crown winner as I will be this horse. Between the super light foundation, the crooked trainer, and the obnoxious owners, I just can't do it.


I'm with you.
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  #17  
Old 05-03-2008, 08:34 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
To answer the original question:

Please God, no.

I've never rooted so hard against a Triple Crown winner as I will be this horse. Between the super light foundation, the crooked trainer, and the obnoxious owners, I just can't do it.
Well said. The horse made me a believer, but the connections are real tough to swallow.
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  #18  
Old 05-03-2008, 08:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgiaco
Well said. The horse made me a believer, but the connections are real tough to swallow.
+1 Real hard to like.

Not to be confused with the horse.
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