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  #1  
Old 05-01-2008, 08:30 PM
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AeWingnut AeWingnut is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
a horse wins at 7f.
finishes third, about a length back of the winner at 1 1/16.
he finishes second, but almost 8 lengths back, at 1 1/8. so, because he finished second to big brown, i should consider him? but i should ignore the 8 length loss?

besides, isn't big brown running saturday? is he suddenly slower? should i ignore the fact that smooth air is further back the longer the distance becomes when he is facing his longest race yet?

Why do my PP's have Big Brown only winning by 5 and not 8?

Smooth Air ran a faster speed figure going 1 1/8th than he did going 7f.

in 2001 Congaree won the Wood Memorial by what? 2-3 lengths in front of Monarchos. In some ways Smooth Air reminds me of Monarchos.

I am not betting Smooth Air because he was/is sick. Not because of the Derby distance or the number of lengths he was beat by Big Brown.

....on a different note.. why do some want to include Court Vision and not Tale of Ekati?
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  #2  
Old 05-01-2008, 08:34 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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i thought he had won by 7 or so, my mistake.
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  #3  
Old 05-01-2008, 08:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
i thought he had won by 7 or so, my mistake.
no, I think that was Curlin..

anyway.... I think Bellamy Road err Big Brown has his work cut out for him post does not help him. I don't know.. Maybe everyone will take back and let him go by.

he's a favorite
it's the Kentucky Derby

get my

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  #4  
Old 05-01-2008, 09:20 PM
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Default Tax Law Sucks

That law is brutal. Most of all wager's are placed with after tax money. It's like a double tax. As for the Derby, the last 6 winners have come from 6 different tracks at odds of 4-1 to 50-1, so I don't think there is any real way to figure this race out. Go with your gut..... Go CJ.
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  #5  
Old 05-02-2008, 07:59 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geof
That law is brutal. Most of all wager's are placed with after tax money. It's like a double tax. As for the Derby, the last 6 winners have come from 6 different tracks at odds of 4-1 to 50-1, so I don't think there is any real way to figure this race out. Go with your gut..... Go CJ.

and if I overpaid my taxes and receive a refund they count that as taxable income.

My gut is telling me Z something is the bet
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  #6  
Old 05-02-2008, 08:50 AM
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Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AeWingnut

Smooth Air ran a faster speed figure going 1 1/8th than he did going 7f.

in 2001 Congaree won the Wood Memorial by what? 2-3 lengths in front of Monarchos. In some ways Smooth Air reminds me of Monarchos.
?
Except that Smooth Air is BRED to be best at 7/8f, and Monarchos had more of a staying pedigree.
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  #7  
Old 05-02-2008, 09:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
Except that Smooth Air is BRED to be best at 7/8f, and Monarchos had more of a staying pedigree.
I bet Monarchos
not betting Smooth Air
but the way my luck has gone
Smooth Air is..... a lock

The heaviest $2 in racing is keying 2 horses
Z Fortune & Tale of Ekati
so.. you can toss them with confidence

I am providing a service when I tell you who I am betting. If only there was a way I could market it. Convince the connections of horses to pay me not to bet their horse.
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  #8  
Old 05-02-2008, 10:35 AM
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Seems like most people who have seen the works from churchill from DRF to Haskin are raving about Denis of Cork. Sounds like he will run a big race, but is he good enough? Street Sense and Barbaro were atleast accomplished horses going into the Derby.

I thought Z Fortune ran a good race considering he was in the 3 and 4 path for much of his last race. But something tells me he is not as good as Pyro, perhaps this is the year a non spectacular 3 yr old wins the Derby and though I have misgivings that The Jock Shaun couldn't drive his way out of an empty highway. I wouldn't be surprised if Pyro wasn't picking up the pieces late this Saturday and perhaps fall short again or just maybe take the entire thing.

Last edited by CSC : 05-02-2008 at 03:16 PM.
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  #9  
Old 05-02-2008, 08:08 PM
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Eight Belles, Z Fortune, Colonel John, Monba and Gayego

My Exacta and Tri Boxes

Don't overlook Monba 11/24/07 race at Churchill from the 11 post.

Don't overlook Gayego in the Ark Derby.

Juicy odds on both.
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  #10  
Old 05-03-2008, 08:00 AM
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5 horse exacta box
Big Brown
Denis of Cork
Anak Nakal
Court Vision
Cowboy Cal
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  #11  
Old 05-03-2008, 08:04 AM
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Not sure about the slop but...

Denis of Cork
Pyro
CCM
Smooth Air
Eight Belles
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