5/3 (CD): 134th Kentucky Derby (Gr. I)

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Question: with the awful - in perception if not in reality - post and other factors, is it possible Big Brown won't go off as the favorite? If the folks on this board are any indication, there seems to be much more support for the horse breaking from the 10 post than the 20. Just an observation.

Yeah, this really has me wondering. I think Watchmaker's M/L is low. I really think both Big Brown and Colonel John will go off around 4/1, with maybe Big Brown a tick lower at 7/2. Either way, the post is bad news for people that thought Big Brown would be some huge chalk. And all I know is even though I think he's one of the most likely winners on Saturday, I would never bet Colonel John at 4/1.