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#1
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the good thing with Churchill is that most of the horses do have some dirt pp's to go off of. because on the kentucky circuit, 2 of the 4 places (ellis as well) are dirt tracks. I tend to look at the pace of the races on the Poly. The races where they routed and went 25/50/117 i try and throw out, because those kind of trips dont happen hardly ever at CD. Not to mention Keeneland is one of the only places where a horse can win going 7 wide, and it really doesnt impress me.
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You can buy my horse racing/gambling novel Southbound at Amazon, BN, or Powells or various bookstores. On twitter @BeemieAwards |
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#2
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i read yesterday that gayego had a gallop every so often over the dirt training course at hollywood (and we know how his dirt debut went)....i wonder if any of the others in the field, that haven't run a race over dirt, have done the same? anyone know?
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
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#3
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Quote:
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#4
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Bottom line is every horse is different and you can't make generalizations if you are backing short priced horses. You want to try to translate poly form to the dirt surface then demand the price to compensate for the unknown.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |
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#5
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Just watch what happens with
preps and training if the syn. horses run well. This should set up very interesting for next year's preps. If the syn. horses flop, giant declarations will be made. Either way, I can see conclusions drawn off of too little evidence. Lots of races have been run, but the stuff just has not been around long enough for the solid conclusions that will inevitably be drawn. Maybe Big Brown just cleans up and no one will care. |
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#6
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