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Old 04-24-2008, 11:54 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
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VERY interesting! Pinnacle has lowered its odds on almost every horse since yesterday morning, including all 3 favs. I think Pinnacle must have had a problem with its algorithm, which resulted in them posting overly generous overall odds. That probably explains why I was able to create the +3% arbitrage 2 days ago. Some examples of the drops: Pyro dropped from 9-1 down to 6.73-1; Big Truck from 110-1 down to 35-1.

Offsetting the reduction in Pinnacle's odds is the appearance of a line at Jazzsports.com. Jazz is a solid offshore book with a "B" rating at Sportsbookreview.com.

Even with the reduction, Pinnacle still has the best odds on 7 horses. Jazz has the highest odds on 8 horses. Bodog has 5, and TheGreek has 4, including the best odds on Big Brown and Pyro.

Changes from yesterday:
Pyro is down to 7.25-1 at TheGreek; the 9-1 at Pinny is history
Col John is down to 6.98-1; was 7.25
Gayego is up to 23.75-1 thanks to Jazz; was 20
Monba is down to 22.01-1; was 24.5
Eight Bells is down to 30-1; was 33
Court Vision is down to 20-1; was 28
Z Fortune is up to 25-1; was 20
Adriano is up to 30-1; was 21
Smooth Air is up to 28-1; was 26
Cowboy Cal is up to 50-1; was 40.5
Visionaire is down to 40-1; was 42
Big Truck is down to 100-1; was 110
Bob Black Jack is down to 60-1; was 75-1
Denis of Cork is down to 45.5-1; was 50
RecapturetheGlory is down to 30-1; was 31

Here are the best current odds I can find:

Big Brown, 3.45 Greek
Pyro, 7.25 Greek
Colonel John, 6.98 Pinnacle
Tale of Ekati, 22.5 Greek
Gayego, 23.75 Jazz
Monba, 22.01 Pinnacle
Eight Bells, 30 Jazz
Z Humor, 55 Pinnacle
Court Visi on, 20 Bodog, Jazz
Z Fortune, 25 Jazz
Adriano , 30 Jazz
Smooth Air, 28 Jazz
Proud Spell, 125 Pinnacle
Cool Coal Man, 50 Bodog
Cowboy Cal, 50 Jazz
Visionaire, 40 Bodog
Big Truck , 100 Bodog
Bob Black Jack, 60 Pinnacle
Denis of Cork, 45.5 Greek
Behindthebar, 35 Pinnacle
Halo Najib, 100 Bodog
RecaptureGlory, 30 Jazz
Anak Nakal, 110 Pinnacle

A proportional bet on every horse at the odds on the list would be almost exactly breakeven. The odds represent a 0% takeout.

--Dunbar

"Greek" is TheGreek
"Jazz" is JazzSports
"Bodog" is, BodogLife[/quote]
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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