is lack of racing a factor? are the horses doing less, as they aren't as far along racing-wise as in years past?
Possibly... I remember the average # of starts pre-Derby was around 8, and now it seems like this year it will be around 6. I've always thought most horses don't reach their peak until their 10th start or so. No statistics to back that up, just an observation.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you