Will Any Pletcher Horses Have Enough Graded Earnings?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I think Denis Of Cork will run in the Derby - I actually think he had the ultimate no shot trip today and his performance - while not exactly impressive - was significantly better than people will rate it...and really about as good as all of his other performances.

He went from a little underrated after the FG win, to clearly overrated after the Southwest win, and back to underrated after his laughably horrific result today.

You see stuff like that almost never.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I think Denis Of Cork will run in the Derby - I actually think he had the ultimate no shot trip today and his performance - while not exactly impressive - was significantly better than people will rate it...and really about as good as all of his other performances.

He went from a little underrated after the FG win, to clearly overrated after the Southwest win, and back to underrated after his laughably horrific result today.

You see stuff like that almost never.

Prior to the ducking the Wood Memorial for this softer spot the connection said he will peak in his next start. If you like him you should get boxcar odds in four weeks.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by pick4

Prior to the ducking the Wood Memorial for this softer spot the connection said he will peak in his next start. If you like him you should get boxcar odds in four weeks.

That's the next great excuse. It takes the place of "needs blinkers" and "cuppy track". "We wanted to run poorly so we can peak next time"

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

That's the next great excuse. It takes the place of "needs blinkers" and "cuppy track". "We wanted to run poorly so we can peak next time"

I hear ya, and it's not an excuse I buy.

However, watching the few prior races on that card - both the rail and speed seemed to be very powerful. That coupled with the wide trip while rating off a slow pace make for authentic excuses for DoC.

If you remember last years ILL Derby - they ran 10 races - the leader after the first call won 7 of them and finished 2nd in each of the 3 others. Some horses were nice prices.

Cowtown Cat parlayed his tremendously bias aided ILL Derby win that year into a 20th place KY Derby finish and a 4th place finish in the Ohio Derby at even money one start after that.

Not saying the bias was as powerful as last year - but from watching a few races prior - it certainly appeared the rail was tremendous and speed was carrying.

[GBBob]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I hear ya, and it's not an excuse I buy.

However, watching the few prior races on that card - both the rail and speed seemed to be very powerful. That coupled with the wide trip while rating off a slow pace make for authentic excuses for DoC.

If you remember last years ILL Derby - they ran 10 races - the leader after the first call won 7 of them and finished 2nd in each of the 3 others. Some horses were nice prices.

Cowtown Cat parlayed his tremendously bias aided ILL Derby win that year into a 20th place KY Derby finish and a 4th place finish in the Ohio Derby at even money one start after that.

Not saying the bias was as powerful as last year - but from watching a few races prior - it certainly appeared the rail was tremendous and speed was carrying.

That's an understatement and that's Hawthorne. And give ET Baird credit where due..He is a good second tier jock and is excellent when on the engine, especially at a track he knows inside out.

I'm not sure who could have closed there today, so maybe DOC gets a semi-pass...??

[mbahadur]

Originally Posted by pick4

Prior to the ducking the Wood Memorial for this softer spot the connection said he will peak in his next start. If you like him you should get boxcar odds in four weeks.

Denis of Cork should get a much faster pace to run at in the Derby than he got at Hawthorne today. Also, his maiden win was at Churchill in closing fashion. I imagine his connections will try to get Albarado or Borel (who won the Derby last year on a closer) back on the horse for the Derby.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I normally pay very little attention to riders - but yeah - someone a little stronger would help the horse a little.

Borel would be a great fit for that horse.

He might get him stopped cold in that big field - but he would be more likely than anyone to pull a rabbit out of his ass.