4/5 (HAW): Illinois Derby (Gr. II)

[JJP]

If Dennis of Cork was pointed for this, wouldn't Albarado be in to ride him? Nothing against Leparoux but his extremely patient style probably will not serve him well this Saturday at Hawthorne. All I know is if you're a rider, you find a highly regarded 3YO colt and he takes precedence over the other mounts. Of course, Albarado may be thinking DoC's win was a product of a blazing pace that fell apart late.

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by JJP

If Dennis of Cork was pointed for this, wouldn't Albarado be in to ride him? Nothing against Leparoux but his extremely patient style probably will not serve him well this Saturday at Hawthorne. All I know is if you're a rider, you find a highly regarded 3YO colt and he takes precedence over the other mounts. Of course, Albarado may be thinking DoC's win was a product of a blazing pace that fell apart late.

julian is tons better then robby TONS
i would want leparoux anyday over robby

[Oaklawnfan]

Man how do you figure this? Julien is tons better than Robby. What's the matter? Robbie would be tired after winning in Dubai? Never the mind, Dennis of Cork is the real deal. I am not going to start backing up to these posts anymore. Julien is a great rider and I hope he enjoys smokin' them at Sportsman's, excuse me, Hawthorne. Denis for President.

[JJP]

Originally Posted by jcs11204

julian is tons better then robby TONS
i would want leparoux anyday over robby

I don't know if he's the right rider for this race on Saturday. He's great on the synthetic tracks and grass because he wants to wait, wait some more then wait even longer.

As for Albarado, that's a questionable move by the agent. The money for 3YO colts/geldings is so good you have to follow them and pick up other stakes runners when you can. His mount in the Ashland is a contender, but by no means is a lock.

Originally Posted by jcs11204

julian is tons better then robby TONS
i would want leparoux anyday over robby

No he isn't. And I say this as someone who can't stand Albarado.

[JJP]

I think this race is much more wide open than those who are handing it to Dennis of Cork. Here's how I'm pricing the race:

1 Recapturetheglory 7-1
2 Instill 20-1
3 Z Humor 4-1
4 Atoned 5-2
5 Denis of Cork 5-2
6 Golden Spikes 7-2
7 Real Appeal 10-1

[GBBob]

Article in today's Trib on Golden Spikes connections


http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports...,3486189.story

[dpkovalesky]

Originally Posted by JJP

I think this race is much more wide open than those who are handing it to Dennis of Cork. Here's how I'm pricing the race:

1 Recapturetheglory 7-1
2 Instill 20-1
3 Z Humor 4-1
4 Atoned 5-2
5 Denis of Cork 5-2
6 Golden Spikes 7-2
7 Real Appeal 10-1

I find it hard to believe that Denis would be that high

[wapete]

The way I see it, they are all racing for 2nd- Denis is for real and will become a undefeated champ on May 3rd. Maybe he is taking an easy prep schedule just to save a little for his triple crown campaign. I hope he is 5-2 against these!

[JJP]

Originally Posted by dpkovalesky

I find it hard to believe that Denis would be that high

He has hardly any edge figure wise and his 96 Beyer was the product of a perfect trip when a brutal pace fell apart late. COntrast that to a horse like Atoned, who was very wide in his last, clipped heels in the start before that, and in both cases made big premature moves only to get nailed at the wire. He was arguably the best animal in both those races. I'm also anticipating a fairly soft pace and that will not work to Dennis the Cork's advantage.

[The Bid]

If Hawthorne played like it played today there wont be a horse win from less than 3 back. The track was ridiculous today.