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Old 03-27-2008, 10:13 AM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodey17
Does anyone scratch their head with Big Brown being the m/l fav at 3-1 given the history of the outisde posts at Gulfstream going 1 1/8? I wonder why Elysium Fields is not the fav. Oh well, be interesting to see the odds at post.
I don't think it is all that unusual. The outside post certainly hurts his chances considerably, but I think everyone would agree that it doesn't completely ruin his chances. If he actually turns out to be a very special horse, he might still win.
Also, regarding the M/L, as I know you already know, this just reflects what the linemaker thinks the public will do. Many people that will be playing this particular race don't have a clue about the numbers of outside posts at that track.
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