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Old 06-02-2006, 12:26 AM
Cunningham Racing
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Samarta
I think it's a two horse race between SW and Jazil.....
The only problem here is that they are both stone closers and need everyone else to melt down for them to form the exacta....I just don't see that happening...the fact is that Bluegrass Cat was faster than these horses going into the Derby and he still remains the fastest of this bunch (according to Ragozin figs).

I have never been a huge fan of Bluegrass Cat, but the race goes through him according to the figs, and his tactical speed gives him an added edge over Jazil and Steppenwolfer.

Also, don't discount Hemingway's Key underneath (although I hate this horse too) for Zito, who has a great history having horses fire huge in this race and obviously can get one ready for 1 1/2 miles as good as any...

Things could change, but right now I like:

1) Bluegrass Cat
2) Deputy Glitters
3) Hemingway's Key


Jazil and Steppenwolfer obviously figure to clunk up underneath too, but I'll play Hemingway's Key at a better price in most TRIs.

I have never believed in Bob and John and still don't...Sunriver is likable, but the facts are that he still ahsn't run lights out fast....100 Beyer and barely getting by a Catalano's turf horse just doesn't get it...obviously, Pletcher wouldn't have gutted him in the Peter Pan, but the fact that he was cranked for the Derby (if he were to drawinto the field) and under a hard drive in the Peter Pan to win suggests to me that he gave close to a best effort in that race and won't move up too far off of it - so playing against him.

The others are simply too slow to win this race on paper, but I guess there could be a Sarava in the wings since there is technically no "big" horses amongst this bunch....we'll see next week!!!
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