Curlin to be m/l fav

[somerfrost]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

Barbaro fit the dosage profile (and then some.)

14-8-21-2-1 (46) DI = 2.41

Yeah...again, dosage is worth considering. It wasn't developed as a handicapping tool but certain aspects do seem to apply. The 16 points in DP rule has worked since 1950...only two horses since dosage became meaningful around 1940 have had less than 16 points, Middleground in 1950 had 12 and the great Count Fleet had but 4 in 1943. Only 3 horses had as few as 16...Sunday Silence, Lil E Tee, and Canonero II...SS now has 36 with new CDR's appointed, Canonero was So American so he figured to have fewer. I generally like to see 18 or more. Again...just something to consider and far from a lock, just a guide. I agree that the female lines are just as important, in fact I believe in the LH+ theories as put forth by Hahn and the Reines (female counterpart of CDR's). Also of note, no horse with more than two 0's in DP has ever won the Derby...Slew's Tizzy, if run, would be the only one in this year's field with three (4-0-8-0-0).