6/29: Churchill Downs ($1.4MM Derby City 6 C/O Force Out)

[moses]

Good luck Steve.

In Race 7, that horse #6 Mine Strike came out of nowhere to win her debut. I had to watch that race multiple times to see how she was able to get up for first. Just an incredibly impressive finish. For both the 6th and 7th, I’ll be fading the #1 horses. You never know how they’ll run from the inside post and I don’t want a short price on either of them.

In Race 9, I don’t see who will be anywhere near Charlene’s Dream on the front end. That looks like a wire to wire win to me. Maybe she doesn’t want the extra distance but I suspect Pin Up Betty is the heavy favorite there and I think the 9 is just as good with a better pace setup.

In Race 11, I love your 2nd choice #5 Good Game. For horizontals, I’m also including your #12 as well as the #1 (whose figures fit and will be a monster price.)