POINTS results - Thistledown 6/21

[Digger]

Scoring System for Points Handicapping Contest:

===Trifectas===
Straight.....A-B-C.....35 points
Boxed, winner on top....A-C-B....30 points
Boxed, top two reversed....B-A-C....25 points
Boxed, other. B-C-A or C-A-B or C-B-A...20 points

===Exactas===
Straight...A-B-x....25 points
Boxed, top two reversed...B-A-x....17 points
Boxed, top pick over third.... A-C-x...15 points
Boxed, other...B-C-x or C-A-x or C-B-x....7 points

===Two in the money, no Exacta===
Winner on top + 3rd....A-x-B or A-x-C....12 points
1st and 3rd without winner on top...B-x-(A or C) or C-x-(A or B.)...5 points
2nd and 3rd...x-(A or B or C)-(A or B or C)....5 points

===One in the Money===
Winner on top....10 points
Winner picked 2nd or 3rd..B-x-x or C-x-x...3 points
2nd picked anywhere..x-(A or B or C)-x...2 points
3rd picked anywhere. x-x-(A or B or C)...1 point

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Ruffian
Race 3) 3–10–1 – 4–8 cxx 3
Race 4) 5–6–2 – 7–4 abx 25
Race 5) 8–2–1 – 6–5 xcx 2
Race 6) 3–9–8 – 7–6 xbx 2
Race 7) 1– 10–8 – 9–4 acx 15
Race 8) 12– 4 – 11 – 8–10 axx 10
Race 9) 1–2–8 – 7–5 cax 7
Race 10) 1-– 11–7 – 10–9 axx 10
Race 11) 7–[6]–4 – 3–2 xax 2
Race 12) 6–4 – 2 – 10–3 xcb 5
83 WIN

Real Quiet
R3...2-12-3-8-4 xab 5
R4...6-2-4-7-5 xax 2
R5...2-1-8-5-3 xbx 2
R6...5-9-3-6-8 xbx 2
R7...1-10-4-9-6 axx 10
R8...11-12-2-4-8 bxx 3
R9...2-1-7-5-8 xbc 5
R10..1-10-11-4-7 axx 10
R11..2-1-3-4-7 axx 10
R12..2-4-10-6-3 cab 20
69 SHOW

Digger
R3) 8 12 4 3 xxb 1
R4) 6 7 3 5 xac 5
R5) 8 1 2 6 xbx 2
R6) 9 7 3 6 xax 2
R7) 4 10 1 9 cxx 3
R8) 12 8 10 4 axx 10
R9) 1 8 5 2 bax 17
R10) 11 1 10 7 bxx 3
R11) [6] 7 3 4 xax 2
R12) 6 2 4 10 xbc 5
50

Don Guido
3: 12-2-10-8-4 xba 5
4: 6-4-7-5-1 xax 2
5: 8-6-1-2-3 bcx 7
6: 8-7-2-9-3 xxx 0
7: 1-10-6-8-9 axx 10
8: 8-2-12-11-10 cxx 3
9: 1-8-2-7-5 bax 17
10: 6-11-10-3-7 xxx 0
11: 7-4-3-1-5 xax 2
12: 6-2-4-3-1 xbc 5
47

Indian hemp
3 … 4 - 3 - 2 - 8 xcx 2
4 … 4 - 6 - 5 - 7 cbx 7
5 … 6 - 8 - 1 - 2 acx 15
6 … 6 - 9 - 3 - 8 xbx 2
7 … 1 - 8 - 4 - 9 abx 25
8 … 4 - 12 - 10 - 11 bxx 3
9 … 1 - 2 - 8 - 5 cax 7
10 … 11 - 1 - 9 - 2 bxx 3
11 … 7 - 3 - 4 - 1 xax 2
12 … 2 - 6 - 3 - 4 xax 2
68 SUPER

JolyB
R3: 2-3-10-12-[11] xax 2
R4: 5-6-2-3-7 abx 25
R5: 8-1-2-6-7 xbx 2
R6: 3-8-9-6-5 xcx 2
R7: 1-6-10-8-4 axx 10
R8: 12-4-11-8-7 axx 10
R9: 1-2-8-7-3 cax 7
R10: 1-11-10-2-5 axx 10
R11: 7-4-3-1-5 xax 2
R12: 2-6-4-10-3 xac 5
75 PLACE

Alli
R3: 12-2-4-3 xba 5
R4: 6-7-5-4 cax 7
R5: 8-6-2-4 bxx 3
R6: 8-9-5-3 xbx 2
R7: 1-10-6-8 axx 10
R8: 12-10-4-11 axx 10
R9: 1-5-7-2 xac 5
R10: 1-11-7-10 axx 10
r11: 7-4-5-1 xax 2
r12: 6-4-2-10 xcb 5
59

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[ SCRATCHES ] Results

R3 ) [ 11 7 ] 1 2 12
R4 ) 5 6 3
R5 ) 6 1 5
R6 ) 1 9 4
R7 ) 1 8 11
R8 ) [ 3 5 ] 12 9 7
R9 ) 8 1 7
R10 ) [ 8 ] 1 3 5
R11 ) [ 6 ] 2 7 8
R12 ) [ 8 9 ] 10 2 4

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[ POINTS / WEEK RESULTS ]

[ 31 ] 6/21 - Thistledown 2025

Ruffian 83 ( WIN )
JolyB 75 ( PLACE )
Real Quiet 69 ( SHOW )
Indianhemp 68 ( SUPER )

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[ POINTS PLAYERS ORDER ]

JolyB - ( WIN 8 ) ( PLACE 5 ) ( SHOW 11 ) ( SUPER 1 ) = 179

Digger - ( WIN 7 ) ( PLACE 5 ) ( SHOW 3 ) ( SUPER 2 ) = 133

Ruffian - ( WIN 2 ) ( PLACE 6 ) ( SHOW 5 ) ( SUPER 7 ) = 121

Alli - ( WIN 4 ) ( PLACE 3 ) ( SHOW 4 ) ( SUPER 7 ) = 112

Real Quiet - ( WIN 3 ) ( PLACE 5 ) ( SHOW 4 ) ( SUPER 5 ) = 112

Don Guido - ( WIN 4 ) ( PLACE 5 ) ( SHOW 3 ) ( SUPER 4 ) = 110

Indian hemp - ( WIN 3 ) ( PLACE 4 ) ( SHOW 4 ) ( SUPER 5 ) = 102

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[RUFFIAN]

🙀🙀🙀 Meowza 🙀🙀🙀

🏇🏇🏇venue 6/28 = Churchill Downs = 💥 Full Card 😸

[JolyB]

Ruff, very well played win on what was a very difficult card.

Nice call for this Saturday. The field for the Stephen Foster is outstanding.

[cal828]

Originally Posted by JolyB

Ruff, very well played win on what was a very difficult card.

Nice call for this Saturday. The field for the Stephen Foster is outstanding.

No argument there. A small, but accomplished field which looks like any of them could win and to add to the difficulty, there may be rain. I was just looking at some of the comments on Facebook about the race. Lots of people saying they hope that D. Wayne's horse will win. Much as I wouldn't mind that happening too, I think his chances are slim and none unless he is the secret son of Mine that Bird.

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by cal828

No argument there. A small, but accomplished field which looks like any of them could win and to add to the difficulty, there may be rain. I was just looking at some of the comments on Facebook about the race. Lots of people saying they hope that D. Wayne's horse will win. Much as I wouldn't mind that happening too, I think his chances are slim and none unless he is the secret son of Mine that Bird.

A win by Ashcroft would be a feel good story and a fitting farewell tribute to Mr. Lukas, but I feel that even the 30-1 odds on the ML are overly kind to his connections. There are too many other faster and classier horses in the race for him to have any chance of even hitting the board.

I did a very cursory look at the entries to consider whether an ROI play of the Derby City 6 would be feasible. I didn't feel that coverage in the Foster with fewer than 5 picks would be adequate - it looks that competitive to me at first blush. Even if I could justify a single of Anna in the Fleur De Lis (and I'm not sure that makes any sense), that leaves the coverage of the other 4 stakes races as just too thin. It'd be fun to try but not practical (when has that stopped me?)

[RUFFIAN]

❣️JOLY ~~~ ❣️
Any day I can finish ahead of you 🙀
Is a HUGE Feather 🪶 In my Cowgirl 🤠 Hat

[cal828]

Originally Posted by JolyB

A win by Ashcroft would be a feel good story and a fitting farewell tribute to Mr. Lukas, but I feel that even the 30-1 odds on the ML are overly kind to his connections. There are too many other faster and classier horses in the race for him to have any chance of even hitting the board.

I did a very cursory look at the entries to consider whether an ROI play of the Derby City 6 would be feasible. I didn't feel that coverage in the Foster with fewer than 5 picks would be adequate - it looks that competitive to me at first blush. Even if I could justify a single of Anna in the Fleur De Lis (and I'm not sure that makes any sense), that leaves the coverage of the other 4 stakes races as just too thin. It'd be fun to try but not practical (when has that stopped me?)

I'm probably wrong, but I'm not crazy about Sierra Lione in the Foster. He has the best fig of all runners with his win in the BC Classic, but the pace in that was blazing for a mile and a quarter. It should be moderately fast in this race, but I don't think suicidal. Lots of variables to consider which usually means I'll be wrong about the race. It's a real Rubik's Cube of a race. That said, it would be foolish to leave him out entirely. As for practical, I am probably the least practical of all players considering my tendency to play SH5s.