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Old 01-03-2007, 09:58 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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Sorry....that was unfair.

I'm just worn out from this argument. I happen to think it is HIGHLY likely that Strong Contendor will be in the 10-1 range in at least two Grade 1s this year. Yes, I understand the injury, or " I'm John Ward and I don't run my horses ", factor but this horse has remained sound and seems to have been pointed for a 4YO campaign.

I think mathematically making him 5-1 to win a Grade 1 this year is hardly a stretch. And by the way, not that you have said this, but I am not necessarily saying I expect him to, I just think those are the fair odds of it happening. Truthfully, if anything, I think he may be more likely.
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