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  #1  
Old 05-18-2017, 06:57 AM
Weary Weary is offline
Sam Houston
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
Does anyone have a replay link that includes the head-on view of the start?

Head on replay of Always Dreaming winning the 2017 Kentucky Derby
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  #2  
Old 05-18-2017, 08:35 AM
robfla robfla is offline
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Thanks. Excellent view. It can be looked at differently by each person, but all I see is McCraken bumping CE and pushing CE to the inside of the track - where he probably wanted to be anyways. IMO, its marginal if the start cost CE any final positioning.
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  #3  
Old 05-18-2017, 08:59 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Those hosses who ran 1-2 got the best trips for sure
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  #4  
Old 05-18-2017, 11:19 AM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by robfla View Post
Thanks. Excellent view. It can be looked at differently by each person, but all I see is McCraken bumping CE and pushing CE to the inside of the track - where he probably wanted to be anyways. IMO, its marginal if the start cost CE any final positioning.
The flow in the run to the first turn was steady and the field separation was ideal for minimizing ground loss on the turn. I thought it was one of the more uneventful runs to the first turn comparatively speaking.

Hence was the only horse losing ground to the field in the 1st 1/16 of a mile which can be seen on the overhead view ( yellow cap with black silks ) . Hence actually got a good start despite the chart caller's " in tight at the break " comment. Once he checked out of his position Geroux yanked him toward the rail right outside of Lookin at Lee. He was further outrun by LAL throughout the remainder of the race so it's difficult for me to make a case for him.Though given the Preakness post positions it wouldn't surprise if he gets first run on LAL for the underneath slots.

Last edited by Port Conway Lane : 05-18-2017 at 11:33 AM.
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  #5  
Old 05-18-2017, 04:27 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
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Thanks!

It still looks like a violent hit on Classic Empire and a stumble to me, but I can see how others might view it differently.

Also interesting is the view at about 1:10, where all but the front 4 have a solid coating of mud on their heads and front quarters. That can't have been pleasant. By the end of the race, there was one black horse and 18 mud-caked brownish greys.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
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  #6  
Old 05-18-2017, 04:31 PM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
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Not sure if I've seen this anywhere or not, but it looked to me that Classic Empire's trouble at the start was some of his own doing, no?

The horses to his outside did him no favors, but it seemed to me that CE broke and his first few steps out of the gate were to his right. That said, shouldn't Leparoux have known that the horses in the auxiliary gate were to be coming inward for position sake??
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  #7  
Old 05-18-2017, 05:56 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by declansharbor View Post
Not sure if I've seen this anywhere or not, but it looked to me that Classic Empire's trouble at the start was some of his own doing, no?

The horses to his outside did him no favors, but it seemed to me that CE broke and his first few steps out of the gate were to his right. That said, shouldn't Leparoux have known that the horses in the auxiliary gate were to be coming inward for position sake??
Leparoux don't give two sh!ts about the break in any race ever.
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  #8  
Old 05-18-2017, 09:00 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by declansharbor View Post
Not sure if I've seen this anywhere or not, but it looked to me that Classic Empire's trouble at the start was some of his own doing, no?

The horses to his outside did him no favors, but it seemed to me that CE broke and his first few steps out of the gate were to his right. That said, shouldn't Leparoux have known that the horses in the auxiliary gate were to be coming inward for position sake??
I agree, Classic Empire definitely made things worse by taking a couple steps toward the outside.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #9  
Old 05-19-2017, 08:10 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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This race has merry-go-round written all over it. AD + CMM with CE really close as long as Julien doesn't have his head up his @ss, and they just cruise around the track and it's an even more boring race than the Derby.
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  #10  
Old 05-20-2017, 01:02 AM
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taxicab taxicab is offline
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As a rule of thumb I avoid second choices with a passion,but I think Classic Empire is the one on Saturday.
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  #11  
Old 05-20-2017, 07:24 AM
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moses moses is offline
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Am I an idiot for putting some money on Conquest Mo Money to win? He looks like the only early speed horse in the race. Having not run in the derby, I'm hoping he's a little fresher and can get a nice run. Really like him at 15-1. We'll see what his final odds are.
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  #12  
Old 05-20-2017, 10:17 AM
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10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
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Lot of talk about no pace in this race, wonder if there isnt some early movement by some of the riders and then it becomes a legit pace?
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  #13  
Old 05-20-2017, 10:49 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Am I an idiot for putting some money on Conquest Mo Money to win? He looks like the only early speed horse in the race. Having not run in the derby, I'm hoping he's a little fresher and can get a nice run. Really like him at 15-1. We'll see what his final odds are.
I like quite a bit and don't think the post is a problem at all
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