|
|
 |
|
#17
03-04-2016, 10:23 AM
|
|||
|
|||
Trump is inevitable.
Cruz has the only chance of still standing after the 15th, if it even gets that far. Kasich is trying to play the spoiler, saying that his wheelhouse is coming up with Michigan & Ohio. the problem is that he doesn't have a prayer in Michigan. 538, which has been one the strongest and consistent predictors of primary outcomes gives Trump has an 86% chance of winning Michigan. Conversely, they give Kasich a less than 1% chance of winning. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...an-republican/ In Kasich's home state of Ohio, where he has all but guaranteed a victory is anything but guaranteed. He is in a virtual tie with Trump there, 40%-38%. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...io-republican/ Trump has a 69% chance of winning Florida compared to 31% chance Rubio will win: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...da-republican/ The point is that Kaisch doesn't appear to have any shot of doing anything except to hold Ohio delegates hostage should he win the coin flip in there. There will be no one standing after March 15th except Trump and a crippled Ted Cruz. Hopefully the GOP can get their sh1t together and get behind him. 
|
Threaded Mode