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  #1  
Old 03-09-2013, 07:12 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Originally Posted by booner View Post
Man, I keep forgetting about Well Armed. Thanks for the correction.
Sorry gang, it was Kinsale King in the 2010 Dubai Golden Shaheen...and I think the next one will come in the 2013 Dubai Golden Shaheen from Private Zone.
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Old 03-09-2013, 07:15 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Considering the way they ran in the 1 1/2m turf race, there should really be no doubt that Little Mike goes to the Dubai Sheema Classic.

I thought Dullahan ran OK considering he broke slow, was completely, entirely unnecessarily rushed up into a fairly solid pace, and flattened.

Overall, I take nothing big out of both of these efforts - these were totally pure prep races. Both eligible to improve next up.
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Old 03-09-2013, 07:44 PM
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cmorioles cmorioles is offline
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Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
Overall, I take nothing big out of both of these efforts - these were totally pure prep races. Both eligible to improve next up.
Good luck with that. I don't expect much from either next time.
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Old 03-09-2013, 08:59 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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I won't be betting either of them.
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Old 03-09-2013, 09:44 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
I thought Dullahan ran OK considering he broke slow, was completely, entirely unnecessarily rushed up into a fairly solid pace, and flattened.
Agreed. I don't think he can win in 3 weeks, but the break and ride didn't help and the goal is the World Cup, not today.
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  #6  
Old 03-10-2013, 07:28 PM
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Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
Considering the way they ran in the 1 1/2m turf race, there should really be no doubt that Little Mike goes to the Dubai Sheema Classic.
American based horses are 59-0-3-0 in Dubai World Cup races at greater than six furlongs on either turf or tapeta.

And honestly, I was shocked that they've performed that well. It feels like they're like 0 for 400 and The Tin Man was the only one top 3.

It's not like we only send bad horses either. Half of those horses are like a freaking who's who of some of our best turf and synthetic horses.
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Old 03-10-2013, 07:44 PM
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Record of American horses on World Cup day.

Dubai World Cup on dirt: 48-9-9-7
Dubai World Cup on Syn: 8-0-0-0 (Royal Delta and Game On Dude finished 9th and 12th as our lone two starters last year)

Godolphin Mile dirt: 26-5-3-2
Godolphin Mile syn: 7-0-0-0

Golden Shaheen Sprint dirt: 39-9-8-5
Golden Shaheen Sprint Syn: 6-1-1-1

UAE Derby Dirt: 16-4-3-2
UAE Derby SYN: 1-0-0-0

All dirt races: 129-27-23-16
All SYN races: 22-1-1-1
All Turf races: 43-0-3-0
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Old 03-11-2013, 12:17 AM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
UAE Derby Dirt: 16-4-3-2
UAE Derby SYN: 1-0-0-0
This is a fairly liberal interpretation of "American horses" - I'd often consider ONLY horses that were regularly stabled in the US and just shipped over with the expressed consent of running on the World Cup card. By that estimate, I don't think any US horse has ever won the UAE Derby, some of those Godolphin winners counted as winners here likely shipped over well in advance of their performances.
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Old 03-11-2013, 09:19 AM
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Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
This is a fairly liberal interpretation of "American horses" -
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Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
I don't think any US horse has ever won the UAE Derby,
We've been over this before Pat ... and look, I understand that you have to try and be a shill for Dubai.

No US horse has ever won the UAE Derby?

#1: Express Tour: Every single one of his 4 career start before he won the UAE Derby was at Calder. Every single start after he won the UAE Derby was made in the United States.

You are the only person in the world with an IQ over 100 who thinks Express Tour wasn't a US horse.

#2: Essence Of Dubai: ALL of his races at age 2 came in the United States. He broke his maiden at Hollywood. Was 3rd in the Best Pal. Won the Norfolk. Raced in the Breeders Cup.

#3: Discreet Cat: He won his debut at Saratoga for trainer Stanley Hough in jaw dropping fashion. Sure, the Arabs shelled out seven figures for him, but he's an American horse.

#4: Regal Ransom: He also broke his maiden at Saratoga and he competed in the Norfolk Stakes. He came from the Calder 2-year-old in training sale.

All four of these horses raced exclusively in the USA as 2-year-olds and were based here the whole year. That means, going into the UAE Derby, March of their 3yo season, they're considered American horses.
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Old 03-11-2013, 09:34 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Default very interesting.......but sad

so basically don't bet American hosses in Dubai ?
these stats are eye opening to say the least.
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  #11  
Old 03-11-2013, 11:30 AM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
We've been over this before Pat ... and look, I understand that you have to try and be a shill for Dubai.

No US horse has ever won the UAE Derby?

#1: Express Tour: Every single one of his 4 career start before he won the UAE Derby was at Calder. Every single start after he won the UAE Derby was made in the United States.

You are the only person in the world with an IQ over 100 who thinks Express Tour wasn't a US horse.

#2: Essence Of Dubai: ALL of his races at age 2 came in the United States. He broke his maiden at Hollywood. Was 3rd in the Best Pal. Won the Norfolk. Raced in the Breeders Cup.

#3: Discreet Cat: He won his debut at Saratoga for trainer Stanley Hough in jaw dropping fashion. Sure, the Arabs shelled out seven figures for him, but he's an American horse.

#4: Regal Ransom: He also broke his maiden at Saratoga and he competed in the Norfolk Stakes. He came from the Calder 2-year-old in training sale.

All four of these horses raced exclusively in the USA as 2-year-olds and were based here the whole year. That means, going into the UAE Derby, March of their 3yo season, they're considered American horses.
I guess my thought is that these are horses did all of their preparation in the UAE and were not shipped from America the week before the race, and put back on a plane to the US right after. Those are what I view as "American horses" to run in Dubai. You can call me a shill for Dubai racing, but if anything, I think I'm actually being quite critical of the records.
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  #12  
Old 03-10-2013, 07:44 PM
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Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
American based horses are 59-0-3-0 in Dubai World Cup races at greater than six furlongs on either turf or tapeta.

And honestly, I was shocked that they've performed that well. It feels like they're like 0 for 400 and The Tin Man was the only one top 3.

It's not like we only send bad horses either. Half of those horses are like a freaking who's who of some of our best turf and synthetic horses.
The Tin Man, Hard Buck and who else came second?
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  #13  
Old 03-10-2013, 07:49 PM
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The Tin Man, Hard Buck and who else came second?
Whilly.

He won back to back Stakes at Santa Anita, including the Gr 2 San Marcos in his prior start.
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  #14  
Old 03-10-2013, 08:45 PM
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Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Whilly.

He won back to back Stakes at Santa Anita, including the Gr 2 San Marcos in his prior start.
Thanks - you would have thought with some of the (extremely) bizarre results we see on World Cup night that a US horse hasn't fluked a win on turf or on Tapeta in the Godolphin Mile or World Cup.
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  #15  
Old 03-10-2013, 09:13 PM
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Thanks - you would have thought with some of the (extremely) bizarre results we see on World Cup night that a US horse hasn't fluked a win on turf or on Tapeta in the Godolphin Mile or World Cup.
Animal Kingdom might be the right kind of horse to run well for us. He handles all surfaces and his trainer (like Gio Ponti's trainer) has a European background. I still would bet against him though.

If it was still 10 furlongs on dirt at Nad Al Sheba ... horses like Game On Dude and Fort Larned would probably light up anything you can find in Europe. I'd have loved to be in your country if they ever met up with Frankel in a dirt race. As great as Frankel definitely was, you probably could have made a killing of a lifetime going around and fading him in such a hypothetical match-up.
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  #16  
Old 03-11-2013, 12:18 AM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Originally Posted by brockguy View Post
Thanks - you would have thought with some of the (extremely) bizarre results we see on World Cup night that a US horse hasn't fluked a win on turf or on Tapeta in the Godolphin Mile or World Cup.
The home team has won every edition of the Godolphin Mile and likely will again this year - they specifically go after some of these synth loving types that have no value elsewhere. Most American horses to run in the race are square-pegged to a round hole for it, cause they wouldn't make the DWC.
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