Who will be the "wise guy" horse 5/3???

[philcski]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I can't see him going off less than 40-1. Smooth Air seems like the wise guy horse to me. Probably should be 30-1 or more but will wind up going off at 12-1 to 15-1.

Sheet players love him, he'll be a lot less than 40-1. Agree on Smooth Air's odds, however I think he's legit and one of the few truly talented horses in this field and a must include. Pedigree scares me away a bit but at least he's got a little stamina on the bottom.

[Travis Stone]

I think Smooth Air is the wiseguy horse, he or Adriano.

I'm very torn on Adriano as well. There is a ton to like. He has breeding which should/could easily excel on dirt, so labeling him a synthetic maven just yet seems premature.

Let's face it - it's anyones race this year. Well, almost anyone.

[Gander]

I cant see Smooth Air taking the kind of money needed to get him to 12/1.
Somebody had to run 2nd to Big Brown that day. Sure he can win, but I dont think a plodding 2nd in behind Big Brown is the kind of race that will make people run to the ATM machine over.

I see horses like Gayego and Z Fortune attracting more attention. Maybe even the slow Tale of Ekati. Those are 3 horses who I see more likely to land in the 12/1 - 15/1 range.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Gander

I cant see Smooth Air taking the kind of money needed to get him to 12/1.
Somebody had to run 2nd to Big Brown that day. Sure he can win, but I dont think a plodding 2nd in behind Big Brown is the kind of race that will make people run to the ATM machine over.

I see horses like Gayego and Z Fortune attracting more attention. Maybe even the slow Tale of Ekati. Those are 3 horses who I see more likely to land in the 12/1 - 15/1 range.

Yeah but those horses you can make the argument that they should be in the 12/1 to 15/1 range. In Smooth Air's case he really shouldn't be there. Yet my feeling is he will be which will mean he was the wise guy horse.