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  #1  
Old 04-18-2009, 06:04 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 4/18: Keeneland; Charles Town; Other Stakes

Quirky Saturday of racing on heels of a demanding few days at Keeneland. Open and odd Lexington cast featured as part of another challenging P4 today at Keeneland. Charles Town quad has great late night stakes series, and carryovers are available at Aqueduct and Santa Anita! Enjoy the day... ATR moves to Churchill Downs Monday for its' annual 2 week Derby run-up.


WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: 57th Whimsical (Gr. III), F&M-4+, 6f

Best Value: #3 Proud Heiress 7-2: Turfway outfit choses this over KEE.. 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Smart Surprise 8-5: Carroll mare is fine, but not at 8-5.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Arden Belle 8-1: Consistant sort returns as 6yo.. 6th
Super Add: #6 London Snow 12-1: Another off break; Working well.. 7th



HAWTHORNE


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: 33rd Sixty Sails (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f

Santa Teresita is a play-against here. Why would Guillot take this avowed turf/syth runner here for dirt rather than KEE for her prefered surface(s)?

Most Likely: #3 Swift Temper 4-1: Romans' mare close in Sabin last; Got rest.. WON
Best Value: #5 Kathleens Reel 5-1: Stalked and went in perfect prep.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Santa Teresita 7-5: No faster than the top choice.. 2nd

$1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $9.90



KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #12 Future Story 8-1: Quick; May not have beat much in debut.. 7th
Most Likely: #2 Keertana 12-1: Proctor/Johar goes back from lawn mile.. 2nd
Next Best: #4 Ocean Colors 3-1: Big debut, injury in sloppy stake; Asmussen struggles with synth.. 4th
Super Add: #3 SCR


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Ready's Echo 8-5: Was wondering this week where he was.. WON
Best Value: #1 Fort Apache Star 20-1: Fahey gelding alternating efforts.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 A Diehl 7-2: Arnold gelding ran into toughies in long diploma search.. 3rd
Super Add: #5 Grand Play 6-1: Thornbury first out winner has worked 28f since.. 10th

$1 Exacta (8-1) Paid $32.60
$1 Trifecta (8-1-7) Paid $134.80



7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tremendously balanced and difficult filly ALW route, with 3 first out 4yo's signed on..

Best Value: #10 Laguna Plateada 15-1: Showed footing preference with move to lawn.. 6th
Most Likely: #9 Cable 3-1: Clement 4yo impressed in '08 NY turf pair; Ouchy and iffy.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Namaste's Wish 4-1: 4yo bow; Mott returnees coming in tuned up.. 7th
Super Add: #7 She's Yummy 10-1: Stidham miss aced turf sprints in NoLa; Stretches out.. 2nd


8th: Giant's Causeway (L), F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Utterly impossible turf sprint..

Best Value: #4 Marina Ballerina 20-1: Off 5 weeks; Repeat of last can win this.. 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Diamondrella 3-1: Predictably better since moving Violette to Penna.. WON
Next Best: #8 Classify 10-1: Asmussen mare has many on page good enough.. 4th
Super Add: #7 Lady Chace 12-1: 4yo Margolis Tiznow may prefer dirt, but price is right.. 3rd

$1 Exacta (5-4) Paid $42.40
$1 Trifecta (5-4-7) Paid $750.20
$1 Superfecta (5-4-7-8) Paid $4,304.60



9th: Lexington (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Masala 6-1: Developing steadily; Distance a slight concern.. 4th
Best Value: #10 Parade Clown 15-1: Return to WEBN win would fit well here.. 8th
Next Best: #8 Square Eddie 9-5: BCJ runner-up has Derby dough; 1 race = 5 workouts.. 3rd
Super Add: #3 Pitched Perfectly 15-1: Overlooked and should excel in a synthetic route.. 5th


10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #8 LA ROCCA 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 After Thought 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Siren Serenade 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Gold d'Oro 5-1 2nd
High 5 Play: #6 Finish in Style 20-1 9th

$1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $22.90
$1 Trifecta (8-9-5) Paid $64.30



<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-7-8-9-10-11
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 2-3-4-6-8-10
10: 8

6x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72



CHARLES TOWN


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: Webb Snyder, 3+, 4.5f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Place Your Bet 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Cooper County 9-2 8th
Next Best: #9 Love's Strong Heart 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Trust or Bust 6-1 WON


8th: Blue and Gold, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 St. John's Gospel 8-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Colonel Rutledge 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Russell Road 3-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Top Seed 5-1 6th


9th: Sugar Maple, F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Weathered 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Super Slash 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Cowgirls Don't Cry 3-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Spritely 6-1 (Will run) WON


10th: Charles Town Classic, 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Commentator 7-5 4th
Next Best: #3 Researcher 6-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Ea 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Dry Martini 10-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (3-7) Paid $66.50
$1 Trifecta (3-7-1) Paid $268.40
$1 Superfecta (3-7-1-6) Paid $1,197.80



<$100 P4 Play:

7: 1
8: 1-5-6-7-9
9: 3-4-5-8-9-10
10: 3-6-7

1x5x6x3 = $90


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-19-2009 at 05:42 AM.
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  #2  
Old 04-18-2009, 09:53 AM
-BT- -BT- is offline
The Curragh
 
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Location: 60613
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the late pk4 at keeland looks damn near impossible, good luck with that steve. I'm saving my amo for the bull ring tonight

early pk4 (kee)... prob. not gonna play it

15
1245910
16
1238 = $48

gl all


-bt-
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  #3  
Old 04-18-2009, 11:24 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,900
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KEENELAND

Scratches & Changes -- Saturday, April 18, 2009

1 1st Race
#8--Step to the Music--SCRATCH

2nd Race
NO CHANGES

3rd Race
NO CHANGES

4th Race
#1--Morakami--SCRATCH

5th Race
#3--Hug It Out--SCRATCH

6th Race
NO CHANGES

7th Race
#4--Extra Innings--SCRATCH
#5--Crown of Diamonds--SCRATCH

8th Race
#13AE--Taletobetold--SCRATCH
#14AE--Megadeed--SCRATCH

9th Race -- Coolmore Lexington (G2)
#1--Jeranimo--(LA) Lasix Adjunct
#12--Hull--SCRATCH

10th Race
NO CHANGES
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 04-18-2009, 05:38 PM
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3kings 3kings is offline
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Posts: 3,495
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Steve,
Stopped home in between by sons baseball and soccer games and used your picks in the Keenland 6th for an action wager. Thank you.
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  #5  
Old 04-18-2009, 06:35 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Steve... Nice Super !
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  #6  
Old 04-18-2009, 07:42 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 3kings
Steve,
Stopped home in between by sons baseball and soccer games and used your picks in the Keenland 6th for an action wager. Thank you.
Excellent TK! More than welcome...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #7  
Old 04-18-2009, 07:44 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,900
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Steve... Nice Super !
Thx... I caught it for a dime on a tiny bet and was immediately sorry I didn't play the Tri! I couldn't believe it came in to be honest. I thought the race was impossible.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #8  
Old 04-18-2009, 08:18 PM
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South Beach Luv South Beach Luv is offline
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I'm going to have to put a bet down on your most likely in the 8th - nobody else likes him, longest shot on the board
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