Santa Anita opening always a great day..
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
SANTA ANITA — OPENING DAY
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)
Seemingly well-matched group of MDN’s, most with experience, and a firster in Micks Miracle that hints at buzz based on Jon White’s 4-1 ML. Notable that Passinaflash, Ideal and Blue Harbor exit races involving Dortmund and Firing Line, with Passinaflash managing to face both. Thankful this isn’t already treacherous late P4..
Best Value: #11 Ideal 8-1
Next Best: #4 Steam Play 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Iancol 5-1
Super Add: #9 Passinaflash 8-1
5th: OC/C, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)
SCR of Press Baron leaves this utterly up for grabs..
Most Likely: #3 Mal Verde 3-1
Best Value: #7 Christopher Street 5-1
Next Best: #9 Bench Light 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Husband’s Folly 5-1
6th: 42nd La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
There’s just too much speed signed up here to accept the short number on Taris. Stalking Marylou (6-1) and turnback Jojo Warrior (4-1) look like the right late arrivals..
Most Likely: #10 Jojo Warrior 4-1
Best Value: #3 Thank You Marylou 6-1
Next Best: #1 Taris 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Stonetastic 4-1
7th: 15th Mathis Bros. Mile (G2), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)
A lot of sophomores in this that really like to win and enough confirmed frontrunners to anticipate waves of contenders.. Think you’re obliged to try and beat Heart to Heart with many prices within range..
Most Likely: #10 Long On Value 5-1
Next Best: #7 Heart to Heart 5-2
Best Value: #12 Talco 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Home Run Kitten 6-1
8th: 63rd Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD)
While there are ‘fast’ players here, as opposed to La Brea, they aren’t as lead-adamant. Baffert quartet appear poised to enter turn as superfecta leaders. Shared Belief will be very short but is the class of the field and wins if at his best..
Most Likely: #8 Shared Belief 4-5
Best Value: #6 Midnight Hawk 6-1
Next Best: #2 Chitu 4-1
Exotics Use: #3 Indianapolis 6-1
9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #5 Scattagirl 6-1
Best Value: #1 Rue de Cry 12-1
Next Best: #8 Paulina’s Love 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Indian Princess 6-1
Hi-5 Play: #7 Foolish Ways 3-1
$75 P4 Grid:
6: 3-10 (A), 1 (B), 7-9 (C)
7: 7-10 (A), 12 (B), 2-4-5-9-11 (C)
8: 8 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 5 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 8-9 (B), 7-10 (C)
Full (A/B/C): $75
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 8 with 1,5 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,10 with 8 with 1,5 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 7 with 8 with 1,5 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 2,3,6 with 1,5 – $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 8 with 8,9 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 7 with 8 with 1,5 – $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,10 with 2,3,6 with 1,5 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,10 with 8 with 8,9 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 7 with 2,3,6 with 1,5 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 7 with 8 with 8,9 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 2,3,6 with 8,9 – $12.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 6,10 with 8 with 1,5 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 2,4,5,9,12 with 8 with 1,5 – $10.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 5 with 1,5 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 8 with 7,10 – $4.00
Total: $75.00
Good luck!
Steve