AQU P6 sequence thrown for a Lupe
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Some days your best play is no play at all. Had started to write up Wednesday’s Aqueduct action, but was struggling with decisions and scuttled the tabs. That turned out to be fortuitous because a strong bias carried some improbable horses to the winner’s circle including 60-1 Little Miss Lupe who tripped a rare ‘all’ payoff in the 6th-8th Pick 3. $29K carryover into Thursday. Monitor track status early on in the 3 sprints that begin the day.
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: NY-MCLM/$16k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)
Wood On the Fire the speed of the speed and horse to beat but Englehart turnback Kaepernick drops to the bottom and can stalk from down inside. Morley’s Maggie’s Lad returns for 3yo debut and won’t have to be special to succeed here..
Most Likely: #1 Wood On the Fire 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Kaepernick 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Maggie’s Lad 4-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Bob and Jim 7-2 4th
5th: CLM, 4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)
This is a very solid, consistent group for $12.5k. Sovereign Default is clearly the one but Rice isn’t always aggressive and there are some players to the the outside that may apply pressure or try to grab control. If favorite gets out easy and track continues to be glib, it’s a parade. But if the pace happens to get contested, this will become a scramble where no one is impossible..
Most Likely: #1 Sovereign Default 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #3 Washington’s Rules 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Junior Officer 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Southbeachsandy 4-1 3rd
6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Terrific sophomore ALW group with no less than 3 viable price candidates in Pass the Coffee (8-1), Life in Shambles (8-1) and Eye Luv Lulu (15-1) SCR’D. Lulu stretches out and goes from Phil Teator to Cornelio Velasquez and can wire if left to own devices.
Most Likely: #6 Oltre’ Oro 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Peter Island 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pass the Coffee 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Life in Shambles 8-1 WON ($15.40)
7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)
Big Deluxe may build a big, insurmountable lead
Most Likely: #4 Sinistra 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 The Brothers Rap 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 The Big Deluxe 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Ultimate Empire 7-2 5th
8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)
Former Galluscio NYB stakes heroine Marriedtothemusic makes first start under care of Linda Rice..
Most Likely: #6 Marriedtothemusic 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #5 Mr. O’Leary 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Dighton 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Coolusive 6-1 3rd
9th: MCLM/$12.5k, 3+, 1m
Most Likely: #8 Magnificent Moon 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Bundler 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Mad Props 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Aly’s Favorite Boy 12-1 5th
<$100 P6 Play:
All A Entries
1 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
A’s with One B
2 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
8 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 3,7 – $4.00
A’s with One C
23 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,4,5,6,7 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $10.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 1,3,7 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $6.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 1,3,6 with 6 with 8 – $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 1,2,3 with 8 – $6.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 1 0 $2.00
Total: $100.00
<$55 P4 Play:
All A Entries
1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $3.00
A’s with One B
2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 – $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 6,7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 3,7 – $8.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $0.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,3 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 4 with 8 – $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 1 – $1.00
Total: $53.50