Huge day at Meydan, Gulfstream, Fair Grounds

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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MEYDAN — DUBAI WORLD CUP

POST-SCRATCHES

2nd: Godolphin Mile (G2), 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Shuruq 3-1 8th
Best Value: #11 Mull of Killough 30-1 12th
Next Best: #15 Variety Club 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Soft Falling Rain 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Pentitent 40-1 14th

3rd: Dubai Gold Cup (G2), 2m (P3, DD)

Cavalryman appears much the horse to beat, so a good spot to stack up some viable prices underneath..

Most Likely: #7 Cavalryman 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #15 Simenon 20-1 15th
Next Best: #8 Joshua Tree 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #6 Songcraft 6-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Now We Can 20-1 12th

4th: UAE Derby (G2), 9.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Despite Giovanni Boldini being made the ML fave, the strong candidate here is Godolphin’s in form Aussie Long John..

Most Likely: #4 Long John 3-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Giovanni Boldini 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Asmar 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Emirates Flyer 30-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Toast of New York 20-1 WON ($25.20)

P3 Play:

2: 5-10-11-15
3: 7
4: 4-5-9

4x1x3 = $12

5th: Al Quoz Sprint (G1), 5f-T (P3, DD)

An upset of Shea Shea would be shocking..

Most Likely: #12 Shea Shea 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Amber Sky 8-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #2 Sole Power 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Ahtoug 12-1 2nd

P3 Play:

3: 6-7-8-15
4: 4-5-9
5: 12

4x3x2 = $12

6th: Golden Shaheen (G1), 6f (P3, DD)

Hard not to stay behind the 8yo Reynaldothewizard (Speightstown)..

Most Likely: #5 Reynaldothewizard 7-2 4th
Next Best: #12 Rich Tapestry 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Sterling City 20-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Complicate 6-1 7th

P3 Play:

4: 4-5-9
5: 12
6: 4-5-8-12

3x1x4 = $12

7th: Dubai Duty Free (G1), 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Just a Way 9-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #12 Logotype 30-1 6th
Next Best: #4 The Fugue 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #11 Vercingetorix 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tokei Halo 30-1 7th

<$25 P3 Play:

5: 2-8-12
6: 4-5-8-12
7: 2

3x4x1 = $12 $1 Pick 3 (8/4/2) Paid $144.80

8th: Sheema Classic (G1), 12f-T (DD)

Found this very tricky wanting to use a number of intriguing prices while trying to exclude Magician..

Most Likely: #12 Gentildonna 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Denim and Ruby 8-1 10th
Best Value: #14 Dominant 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Meandre 15-1 7th
Super Add: #13 Empoli 15-1 4th

P3 Play:

6: 4-5-8-12
7: 2
8: 3-4-8-12-13-14

4x1x6 = $24 $1 Pick 3 (4/2/12) Paid $125.40

9th: Dubai World Cup (G1), 10f

Most Likely: #8 Military Attack 8-1 10th
Best Value: #1 Prince Bishop 10-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Ruler of The World 9-2 13th
Exotics Use: #4 Akeed Mofeed 10-1 5th

P3 Play:

7: 2-4-12
8: 3-12
9: 1-4-8-12

3x2x4 = $24

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 47th Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Hard not to root The Chief into the circle with House Rules. In Tune may be on a loose lead though. especially if Lanerie doesn’t engage her with Whomping Willow..

Most Likely: #6 In Tune 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Camille Claudel 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 House Rules 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Whomping Willow 4-1 6th

7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/24′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Palace Gate 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #4 Decisive Edge 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Our Wild Won 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Lord Trondor 6-1 3rd

8th: 6th Sir Shackleton, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Ribo Bobo 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Happy My Way 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #3 Hardened Wildcat 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Dad’z Laugh 5-1 2nd

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/24′ (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Queenie’s Song 6-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Charlie A 12-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Danalin 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Evidently 12-1 6th

10th: 54th Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/96′ (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Aigue Marine 3-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Caroline Thomas 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Inimitable Romanee 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Viva Rafaela 5-1 2nd

11th: 66th Appleton (G3), 4+, 1m-T/24′ (P4, P3)

Inside 2/3rds of field all look good enough..

Most Likely: #6 Tetradrachm 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Kharafa 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Salto 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Hey Leroy 12-1 WON ($25.60)

12th: 30th Skip Away (G3), 4+, 9.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Norumbega 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Salusito 12-1
Next Best: #11 Micromanage 4-1 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #2 War Dancer 15-1

13th: 56th Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/96′ (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Slumber 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Joha 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Vertiformer 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Charming Kitten 10-1 5th

14th: 66th Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 General a Rod 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Cairo Prince 9-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Constitution 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Wildcat Red 3-1 2nd

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

11th: 101st Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Vicar’s In Trouble 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #5 Gold Hawk 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Intense Holiday 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Commanding Curve 20-1 3rd

 

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