AQU carryover unfinished weekend business
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Despite enjoying a nice snapback Sunday after a poor Saturday, pair of 4/6 carryover attempts was maddening. HollyPark sequence went to 2 clever players for $235k each, but a residual $89,500 double C/O is in place at the Big A this afternoon. As discussed with Andy Serling on Tuesday ATR, there could be enough spots for narrowing to enable appropriate spreads in the quandary events.
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)
$89k double P6 C/O starts here..
As Andy said, there’s a lot of ‘go to’ karma involved on Jason Servis & Jose Lezcano with Magic Harbor (SCR’D). He’s the most consistent player in this weak group, but it’s always distressing to lean on a maiden that runs similar races in MCLM ranks that they did v. MSW foes and still lose. Drops to lowest level, moves T2D and adds top pilot. Now or never. Doubt I’ve used two many Persaud runners in P6’s, but can’t help but notice that Know This turned into an actual horse when getting Lasix first time 2 weeks ago. Will be ignored.
Best Value: #10 Crushin Rock 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Praetorian Guard 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Know This 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Tactical Saenz 6-1 4th
5th: NYSS, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)
You almost have to live and die with Sportswriter to build affordable tickets, but 7f is a different animal and strange things happen to pure three quarter types at this testing trip..
Most Likely: #2 Sportswriter 1-4 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #7 Maggie’s Hadder 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Game Token 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Frisky Warrior 6-1 5th
6th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
As Andy and I mentioned, this is a weird agglomeration of misfit fillies including 3 nondescript FTS and 6 second time starters which exit 4 different races. Watch if the AE’s get in as the 13 and 14 are as viable as the rest of this whatnot..
Best Value: #6 Wild Child 15-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Dee Dee’s Comet 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Boldchildsrevenge 7-2 5th
Super Add: #7 T C Lane 3-1 9th
7th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Solid set and agree wholeheartedly with Andy that with no shortage of speed lined up, Royal Sighting should get an ideal stalk and go trip under Ramon..
Most Likely: #4 Royal Sighting 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Best Value: #5 Funky Munky Mama 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Natalie Victoria 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Catinatree 6-1 3rd
8th: NY-OC/C, 3+, 1m (DD)
There are races that you look at and you feel like you aren’t going to figure it out confidently no matter what you do. This is one of those for me. Roaring Conquest isn’t anything special but feels like the most likely with anything close to the off turf win at Belmont two back. Southbeachsandy is a consistent sort but 0/7 at the trip, albeit with 4 placements. Bullnose Brick is preposterous, but he knows how to win, has races at FL and HOO that fit and may get an advantageous set up..
Most Likely: #7 Roaring Conquest 5-2 8th
Next Best: #5 Southbeachsandy 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Bullnose Brick 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 What’s the Record 6-1 WON ($8.50)
9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T
Turf listed as ‘good’ to start the day..
Best Value: #8 Captain Gaughen 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gulltopper 7-2 DNF
Exotics Use: #1 Ego Friendly 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Noosh’s Tale 30-1 WON ($111.50)
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 4-5-8-9-10-11
5: 2
6: 2-4-6
7: 4
8: 5-7
9: 7-8
3x1x3x1x4x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 2-4-6-7
7: 4-5
8: 1-5-7
9: 1-2-3-5-7-8
4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72