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Intriguing Monday slate after Sunday speedfest

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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Weird Sunday at the Spa with a big speed track through the first 6 races on the card before a strong sequence in races 7-11. The 90+ minutes between the 6th and 9th — when the slate’s 2 turf events were run — gave Glen Kozak and his team a chance to fluff the main strip that had been hard-packed for 2 days of rain into Sunday and the 9th-11th provided more even terms for runners. An enormous crowd turned out for the picnic blanket giveaway and seemed to have a great time. I had less of a great time seeing momentum quashed repeatedly and a loss of $300+ resulted despite some P3 and triple hits. I was particularly clobbered by the rough voyage and bad behavior of Heart of Destiny in the 8th when plunging heavily on her nose and through her in exotics. Under a consistently shaky Edgar Prado and shuffled back when the serious running started, she appeared poised for a surge to the front midstretch when she attempted to lug in midstretch. By the time Prado got her straightened out, there was nothing left but a non-threatening placement behind the top pair. Next time, as she may try the Riskaverse at the end of the month. Hope everyone did OK. Good Monday card.
SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Police Chatter 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Buckeye Heart 5-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #5 Basalt 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 A Boy Named Em 6-1 2nd

2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 La Java 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Grand Lely Drive 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Riptherubberoff 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Jerusalem Stone 8-1 5th

3rd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Odd assembly..

Most Likely: #3 Saxaphone Len 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #6 Good Karma 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Roaring Conquest 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Good Law 6-1 4th

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Hooligan’s Delight 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Next Question 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Petey Cramer 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Synthesizer 12-1 WON ($40.80)

5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Good race. Figure Ramon can work a trip from the #10 with King David. Couple of prices to play with after that..

Most Likely: #10 King David 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #4 Knock Rock 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Manx 15-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Adios Nardo 3-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 7
3: 1-2-3-4-5-6
4: 1-4-5
5: 4-5-7-10

1x6x3x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Primal Baby 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #5 Roman Renegade 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 No Three Words 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Coast of Sangria 12-1 6th

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Jonata 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Dancing for Glory 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Coconut Shrimp 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #1 Tie Dye 12-1 8th

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 16f (P3, DD)

Not a lot of trends to look for in 2 mile races. In case you’re wondering, the track record is 3:26.0 held by James Boswell from 8/11/83..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Ea 3-1 WON ($4.70)/3rd
Best Value: #4 Tap Attack 20-1 4th (3rd for wagering)
Next Best: #3 Sensor 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sumo 7-2 DNF

9th: 1st Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Sensible Lady 3-1 WON ($8.30)
Next Best: #7 Spun Cap 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Sweet Cat 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Quick Flip 15-1 8th

10th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT

Best Value: #10 Vee One Rotate 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Space Race 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Magical Season 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Late Starter 6-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-7-8
8: 1-3-4-6
9: 2-4-7
10: 6-8-10

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

This entry was posted on Monday, August 13th, 2012 at 11:19 am and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Responses are currently closed, but you can trackback from your own site.

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