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Old 12-29-2006, 09:34 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,852
Default 12/29: AQU-Carryover Swells

Despite finding 4 winners in the P6 suggestion, Thursday was a flop as firster Double Notes upended me in the 4th. Street Sass (19-1) stunned the tough feature, quashing the P4, and hopes of a conso payoff as well. Friday, the P6 pot starts out at $107,000, with a quarter mill likely in the coffers by the 1:52pm post time of R4. It iks another treacherous series of races, but let's give at go...

POST-SCRATCHES/CHANGES...

SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, 12/30, (R4-9, P6+)


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (Pr, P3)

Tricky event off the bat with a group of unlovable 1 for careers..

1. #3 Significant Other 2-1: Exits near miss this level last; Coa sticks WON
2. #10 Bump is Sweet 12-1: Must step it up but intrigues with blinks, Hill
A. #7 La Mer 3-1: Improving; T-J ITM 4 of 5 and Ramon passes on Contessa 2nd
B. #2 Preacher's Tale 8-1: Perrenial place pony from Kelly chased these 2x

$1 Exacta 3-7 $4.95


CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3)

1. #3 Hard Iron 20-1: Cutback last suited; Dunham gelding ITM 4 of 5 on Inner 4th
2. #5 Southack 9-2: Tough to adore Gyarmati-Nelson grey, but seems a fit
A. #7 Houston Request 7-2: Gullo bay has run poorly only once in career
B. #4 Majestic Karakorum 20-1: Return from break a fiasco, but has back figs


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P4, DD, Superfecta)

1. #1 Wolf Trap 9-2: Blasi brought Brahms bay in from Oklahoma; 5/1-3-1 trip (NOTE: FTG) 3rd
2. #4 Olivers Success 3-1: Contessa tough off claim; Ramon sees fit to ride 2nd
A. #10 Lord Langfuhr 7-2: obvious threat on best; 50% W's at AQI and 8.5f 4th
B. #2 Sir Tyler T 6-1: Owner gunning for national title; Levine pulls out stops? WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS: #3 Sky Diamond 20-1: $450k winner dives to lowest price ever; returns to dirt after skien on Toronto Poly..

$1 Exacta 2-4 $18.40
$1 Trifecta 2-4-1 $81.50
$1 Quad/Superfecta 2-4-1-10 $274.50



7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 2yo, 1m,70y (P3, Superfecta)

1. #7 Quick and Easy 12-1: Offers value and should get pace to chase
2. #1 Trust Nobody 5-2: Robbins' Bad Boy scratches..
A. #11 SCR
B. #9 Axel Rhodes 8-1: Violette last out winner doesn't have to gun for roses

SCR SUB: #8 City Dealer 5-1


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (DD)

1. #6 Wild Nature 7-2: Good R Dutrow 4yo spaces his wins and looks ready
2. #2 SCR
3. #5 Scary Bob 6-1: Lopez a front ender; red better off laying back a tad

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS: #7 Elements 12-1: Respect Lafavers tremendously, and though 4yo gelding speed-challenged, does get pace to close into here


CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f (Superfecta)

Exceedingly perilous way to end P4/6 with silly collection of what-nots..

1. #2 Alarmed 5-1: Can Leah and Nelson win a pair today? (Southack, 5th) 2nd
2. #3 SCR
A. #7 Jet Prospector 9-2: Away 10 months; spotty worktab; has back class 3rd
B. #1a (poe) Multiple Choice 6-1: Last won in '04; Has Ramon if he goes WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS: #10 Special Jet 20-1: NEVER ignore Matties under any scenario


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 3-10
5: 3-5-7
6: 1
7: 1e-5-7-8
8: 6
9: 2-3

2x3x1x4x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-4
7: 1-5-7-9
8: 6
9: 2-7-10

4x4x1x3 = $48


Good luck!!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-29-2006 at 03:19 PM.
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