7/20: Saratoga ($115k P6 C/O): Monmouth (STK P4, X-C P5)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Girls Weekend 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Golden Rocket 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Reflexivity 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Reconcile 4-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$155k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #10 Social Hour 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Incentive Pay 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Perfect Force 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Filoso 10-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Full Screen 6-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #2 Federal Judge 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Gun It 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Arro Smash 4-1 8th


9th: OC/Cond., 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Major Dude 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #8 Andthewinneris 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Belouni 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Steady On 6-1 8th


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5-7 (A), 1-3-6 (B), 2-8 (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (2-4/7-8-2/7/10) Paid $1,017.00 (C-A-A-A)


10th: Lake George (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Manama Gold is full to spectacular sprinting Ova Charged, 18/15-1-0 for $918k (5/5 on turf), and is already proven over a route of ground..

Best Value: #3 MANAMA GOLD 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Oversubscribed 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sweet Rebecca 7-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Vive Veuve 8-1 3rd


11th: Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Obviously Thorpedo Anna wins on her best, but with Irad at MTH, note Johnny V. getting on Leslie's Rose because he likely shadows the favorite more closely than Ortiz would. Candied and Intricate could stalk those two. Thorpedo Anna likely wins, but McPeek barn is frosty in Spatown (11/0-0-2) and stranger things have happened..

Most Likely: #3 Thorpedo Anna 1-2 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #4 Leslie's Rose 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Candied 5-2 2nd


12th: MSW, 3+, 12f-Inner

Best Value: #3 Artempus 8-1 -
Next Best: #1 (POE) Factor Analysis 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #8 The Jackal 6-1 -
Super Add: #5 El Rezeen 9-2 WON ($10.40)


P6 Grid:

7: 4-10 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
11: 3 (A), 4 (B), 1-5 (C)
12: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x2x2x2 = $144
All A's: 2x3x2x1x1x2 = $24
Backup (AAAACA): 2x3x2x1x2x2 = $48 (1-5 in CCA Oaks) ~ Optional if you think Thorpedo Anna won't lose


P5 Grid:

8: 2-3-8 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
10: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
12: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x2x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-5 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

9: 2-8 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
10: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
12: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x2 = $32
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = $16
Backup (AACA): 2x2x2x2 = $16 (1-5 in 11th)



MONMOUTH PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: Wolf Hill, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Arzak 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Alogon Late SCR
Next Best: #8 Nothing Better 3-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Eamonn 4-1 5th


Cross Country P5 Grid:

MTH 9: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Wolf Hill
MTH 10: 1-3 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C) ~ MTH Cup
MTH 11: 3-7-9-12 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C) ~ United Nations
SAR 10: 3 (A), 2 (B), - (C) ~ Lake George
MTH 12: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Haskell

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x4x1x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAAA): 3x2x4x1x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (6-8 in MTH 10th)


10th: Monmouth Cup (G3), 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Highland Falls 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Stage Raider 6-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Surface to Air 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Tapit Trice 2-1 WON ($7.60)


11th: United Nations (G1), 3+, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Dataman 10-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Tawny Port 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Far Bridge 4-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Get Smokin 12-1 WON ($20.20)


SAR 10th: Lake George (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Manama Gold is full to spectacular sprinting Ova Charged, 18/15-1-0 for $918k (5/5 on turf), and is already proven over a route of ground..

Best Value: #3 MANAMA GOLD 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Oversubscribed 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sweet Rebecca 7-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Vive Veuve 8-1 3rd


12th: Amory Haskell (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mindframe 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Timberlake 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tuscan Sky 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Dornach 5-2 WON ($8.80)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-3 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
11: 3-7-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 7 (A), 4 (B), 1-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-8 in 10th)
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-3 in 12th)


Good luck!
Steve