7/20: Saratoga (Day 5; Paddy Smithwick)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Paddy Smithwick (NSA-G1), 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Iranistan 7-2 6th
Next Best: #3 Pistol Whipped 8-5 DNF
Exotics Use: #2 Down Royal 5-1 WON ($15.60)
Super Add: #6 Redicean 6-1 5th


2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Holiday Jazz 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Mariah's Fortune 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Evoking SCR
Super Add: #5 Backed by Gold 12-1 2nd


3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T/12' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Aunt Virginia 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #7 Izeamalibumoon 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Galley Head 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Chiara 12-1 3rd


4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-Inner/9' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Out of Sight 2-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Instinctive 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Home for Christmas 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Sweet Franny Lu 6-1 5th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Whatchamacall 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 U Glow Girl 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Numero Seis 4-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Callie's Passion 6-1 8th


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Important spot on slate as anchor leg of Early P5 and start of the late..

Most Likely: #6 Happy Farm 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #2 Copper Town 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Wendall Fong 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Aristocratic 3-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

2: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

3: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
5: 2-3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x5x4 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (6 in 4th): 2-5-7 w/ 6 w/ 2-3-4 w/ 2-6 = 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T/9' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hey There 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Libretto 8-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Mrs. Green 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Crowding Out 3-1 WON ($9.60)


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Secret Love 10-1 5th/4th for wagers ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Smash Ticket 5-2 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #1e Flying P ownership entry 4-1 3rd/4th
Super Add: #6 Betsy Blue 6-1 2nd


9th: Suzie O'Cain-NY, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner/9' (DD)

Most Likely: #5 She's a Mia 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Dream Central 8-1 WON ($21.40)
Next Best: #4 Classic Lynne 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Dufresne 8-1 3rd


10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T/12'

Best Value: #8 Naked and Famous 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Blinding Light 2-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Big Woo 15-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Super Quality 7-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 2-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), 6 (B), 4 (C)
10: 3-6-7-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $24 (6-9 in 7th); $12 (4 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
10: 3-6-7-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x6 = $54 ($27 for .50)
All A's: 1x3x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: 2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (6-9 in 7th)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S