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#1
07-16-2022, 02:45 AM
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7/16: Saratoga (Day 3; Diana; $533k DBL P6 C/O)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Mistical Curlin 8-1 4th Next Best: #6 Psychic Income 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Knot the One 4-1 6th Super Add: #5 North Pole 3-1 3rd 2nd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Quick Munny 3-1 6th Best Value: #2 Thief of Hearts 8-1 5th Next Best: #7 Chloe Rose 7-2 WON ($6.40) Exotics Use: #1 Closing Deals 4-1 7th 3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/12' (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Robyn and Eli 5-2 9th Best Value: #8 Saratoga Chrome 8-1 10th Next Best: #12 Sal's Dream Girl 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #1 Whatlovelookslike 9-2 WON ($12.80) 4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Higher Quality 1-1 WON ($3.90) Best Value: #4 Eagle in Love 5-1 5th Next Best: #8 Cyro 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Red Revolution 8-1 3rd 5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner/9' (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #8 Shutters 5-1 WON ($14.20) Next Best: #3 Front Line Dancer 9-2 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Kringle 6-1 8th Super Add: #10 Marinara Sauced 4-1 5th P5 Grid: 1: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 2: 2-4-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C) 3: 4-8 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C) 4: 2 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x5x4x1x2 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 2: 2-4-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C) 3: 4-8 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C) 4: 2 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 3-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3 = 60 x .50 = $30 All A's: 3x2x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 $0.50 Pick 4 (7/1/2,6/8) Paid $153.25 6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD) Half a million double C/O starts here with pool eligible to reach $3MM. Alcools (5-2) the horse to beat but Chris and Dave (8-1) turns back to one turn with bug Gomez who won with his first ever Spa mount Friday.. Best Value: #3 Chris and Dave 8-1 6th Next Best: #8 Alcools 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Double Shot 6-1 5th Super Add: #1 Flamingo Hawk 4-1 WON ($8.50) 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Reinvestment Risk (3-5) a logical lean for P6 players on a budget, but have to acknowledge that enigmatic Baby Yoda could be a Spa-loving type after last year's 2 wins including 114 Beyer eye-popper over Olympiad. Be aware too that Disco Pharoah appears to be coming back towards terrific early spring efforts, had trouble in last and stands to get a sneaky good inside trip. River Dog and Sibelius are the only pace players.. Most Likely: #5 Reinvestment Risk 3-5 5th Best Value: #1 Disco Pharoah 10-1 7th Next Best: #9 Baby Yoda 9-2 WON ($8.60) Exotics Use: #8 Sibelius 15-1 3rd ELLIS 9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (X-C P5) Best Value: #10 Get By 6-1 5th Next Best: #3 Rather Be Lucky 4-1 9th Exotics Use: #1 Stella Teresa 7-2 WON ($16.02) Super Add: #6 Ball Gown 8-1 2nd Cross Country P5 Grid: ELP 9: 3-10 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C) SAR 8: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C) MTH 11: 5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C) SAR 9: 9 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C) SAR 10: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: 2x2x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54 8th: Diana (G1), F&M-4+, 9f-T/12' (P4, P3, DD) In Italian has been sparing ~ and matching strides ~ with Regal Glory in the mornings, which tells you how highly Chad Brown thinks of this steadily improving daughter of Dubawi. Think it's her day with Rosario getting to make the pace decisions.. Best Value: #6 In Italian 6-1 WON ($18.60) Next Best: #3 Bleeker Street 6-5 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Technical Analysis 3-1 2nd Super Add: #4 Rougir 3-1 4th P5 Grid: 4: 2 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 3-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 3-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C) 7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1-3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50) All A's: 1x3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 P4 Grid: 5: 3-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 3-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C) 7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1-3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50) All A's: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 MONMOUTH 11th: Blue Sparkler, 3yo-F, 5f-T Most Likely: #5 Marissa's Lady 3-1 5th Best Value: #6 Insatiable 8-1 4th Next Best: #9 Mac the Pee H Dee 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Delmona 9-2 2nd 9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-Inner/9' (P3, DD) If Fort Ticonderoga doesn't win this, it could be any of the next 5-6 candidates. Tricky spot for ticket builders.. Most Likely: #9 Fort Ticonderoga 2-1 8th Best Value: #1e NBS Ownership entry 12-1 2nd/7th Next Best: #3 Forever Souper 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #4 Analogy 10-1 9th 10th: Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (DD) Beat Byk contest kickoff (entry link) and Firenze Fire sibling Andiamo a Firenze gives off same vibe as highly decorated brother. And speaking of family relations, Team Casse managed to grab 10/2-4-1 ($800k) MG1P Pappacap (Gun Runner) half Boppy O (Bolt d'Oro) as a yearling for Jack Oxley & Breeze Easy. Like Pappacap, won 5f May debut at Gulfstream (63 Beyer) and will try to duplicate that one's 2nd start stake success (G2 Best Pal).. Most Likely: #9 Andiamo a Firenze 7-2 3rd Best Value: #1 Boppy O 15-1 10th Next Best: #4 Forte 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #8 I'm Wide Awake 20-1 11th 11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/12' Most Likely: #4 Diva Ready 2-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Princess Blakely 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Bella Conchita 5-1 7th Super Add: #12 Constitutionalrage 20-1 9th P6 Grid: 6: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C) 9: 9 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C) 10: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 4-9 (A), - (B), 6 (C) Base Play (A+B): 2x1x1x1x3x2 = $12 Backups ($78): 2x1x3x1x3x2 = $36 (1-3-4 in 8th); 2x1x1x3x3x2 = $36 (1-3-4 in 9th); 2x1x1x1x3x1 = $6 (6 in 11th) P5 Grid: 7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C) 9: 1-9 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C) 10: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Base Play (A+B): 1x4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 8: 3-6 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C) 9: 1-9 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C) 10: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 4-9 (A), 6 (B), - (C) Base Play (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (1-4 in 8th): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-16-2022 at 08:42 PM. 
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#2
07-16-2022, 09:44 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
07-16-2022, 10:22 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
07-17-2022, 12:37 AM
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Brutal beat in early pick 5. How did that white hoss get beat in the first ?
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#6
07-17-2022, 04:47 AM
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Quote:
Faded late in the card, but Shutters ($14) and In Italian ($18) made the day palatable. Hope everyone did OK.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
07-17-2022, 01:46 PM
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Quote:
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Linear Mode
