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#1
02-12-2022, 03:26 AM
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2/12: Tampa (6th-11th; Cross Country P5)
TAMPA BAY DOWNS ~ CROSS COUNTRY PICK 5
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: Minaret, F&M-4+, 6f (.20 Jackpot P6, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Night Cap 7-2 6th Next Best: #8 Quinoa Tifah 5-2 7th Best Value: #6 My Destiny 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Feeling Mischief 4-1 3rd 7th: Pelican, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #6 Cajun Casanova 8-1 4th Next Best: #3 Baby Yoda 6-5 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Bank On Shea 7-2 WON ($9.60) Super Add: #5 Pudding 4-1 3rd 8th (X-C Leg A): Suncoast, 3yo-F, 1m-40y (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Nest is supposed to win this in 3yo debut, but note that Elate was tripped up at .30 in same spot in her 3yo bow 5 years ago (Tata Tapa Tapa).. Most Likely: #2 Nest 3-5 WON ($2.60) Best Value: #6 Peaceful Surprise 10-1 6th Next Best: #7 Ha Penny 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #8 Princess Elin 12-1 5th 8th (X-C Leg B): Gander-NY, 3yo, 1m (DD) Favored Bold Journey just one of several that can score. First out winner Barese came back from 7+ month break to ace 3yo bow in Rego Park-NY. Ran like the added 300 yards won't be an issue.. Most Likely: #5 Barese 3-1 WON ($7.50) Next Best: #7 Bold Journey 6-5 2nd Best Value: #2 Bossmakinbossmoves 9-2 6th Exotics Use: #1 G Munning 5-1 7th 8th (X-C Leg C): Bayakoa (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD) Tricky group which could really morph if someone gets aggressive. No easy cross outs.. Next Best: #1 Matera 3-1 7th Best Value: #4 Jilted Bride 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Queen Goddess 3-1 5th Super Add: #7 Coach 5-2 4th 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #8 Editor at Large 9-5 4th Best Value: #6 C'Est Mardi 8-1 7th Next Best: #10 Gladys 5-1 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #2 Joyous Times 8-1 3rd 10th (X-C Leg D): Sam F. Davis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5) Day's best race a terrific, wildly competitive edition of this Tampa Bay Derby prep. SCR Howling Time who will await the Fountain of Youth. Classic Causeway the horse to beat but is making seasonal debut and will be part of a strong pace. Two for two Golden Glider is 12-1 for Casse/Gallardo, will get a ground-saving voyage behind the speed and owns the field's lone trip (and win) over this strip, not a small factor on quirky surface.. Best Value: #4 Golden Glider 12-1 5th Next Best: #3 Classic Causeway 3-1 WON ($5.20) Exotics Use: #5 God of Love 10-1 6th Super Add: #11 Strike Hard 6-1 4th 10th (X-C Leg E): Razorback (G3), 4+, 8.5f (DD) And you thought the Bayakoa was well-matched.. Plainsman never misfires, can be placed anywhere and gets Rosario back. After that, you have to get the prices involved including 20-1 Popular Kid who has run well at Oaklawn in the past. Lone Rock is prepping for a trip to Dubai per new partner Randy Hill. Hate leaving Thomas Shelby out of tabs as he hasn't missed a major share in 11 starts.. Most Likely: #8 Plainsman 7-2 WON ($5.80) Best Value: #1 Popular Kid 20-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Rated R Superstar 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Lone Rock 3-1 6th X-C P5 Grid: TAM 8: 2 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C) AQU 8: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C) OP 8: 1-4 (A), 6-7 (B), 2 (C) TAM 10: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) OP 10: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), 3-6-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups ($63): $36 (6-7) + $9 (2) + $18 (3-6-7) $0.50 Pick 5 (2,5/5/2/3,9/8) Paid $305.75 (A-A-C-A-A) 11th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5) Next Best: #6 Thomond Park 8-1 5th Next Best: #5 Unleveraged 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Missionatthespa 10-1 WON ($18.40) Super Add: #11 Domain 12-1 4th P5 Grid: 7: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C) 8: 2 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C) 9: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 3-4-5 (A), 6-7-11 (B), - (C) 11: 5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (with 6-7 in 8th): 2x2x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 P4 Grid: 8: 2 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C) 9: 6-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), - (C) 10: 3-4-5-11 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C) 11: 5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 1x5x6x3 = 90 x .50 = $45 All A's: 1x2x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (with 6-7 in 8th): 2x2x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 $0.50 Pick 4 (2,5/10/3,9/10) Paid $82.20 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 02-12-2022 at 05:06 PM. 
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#2
02-12-2022, 12:35 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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