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  #1  
Old 10-01-2021, 07:14 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,677
Default 10/1: Belmont ($53k P6 C/O); Santa Anita (Opening Day)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th (2:34p ET): CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cazilda Fortytales 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #4 Sweeter 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Cause to Dream 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Hollywood Gina 3-1 6th


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Sweet Franny Lu (8-1) improved with class relief and can win right back, but rooting for Sciacca to get 1,000th winner here with Louie Lazzinaro's Exotic West..

Best Value: #6 Sweet Franny Lu 8-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #3 Exotic West 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Command Point 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ocean Air 7-2 4th


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Love and Thunder 9-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Screamin' By 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Stolen Holiday 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Rivendell 10-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Mi Tres Por Ciento 9-2 7th
Next Best: #7 Cost Basis 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Always Sunshine 7-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Answer In 3-1 4th


8th: John Hettinger-NY, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Myhartblongstodady 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 Ice Princess 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Pecatonica 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Dancingwthdaffodils 15-1 6th


9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f-T

Best Value: #4 B C Glory Days 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Citizen K 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Yarrow 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #11 Suit of Armor 4-1 10th


P6 Grid:

4: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-6-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
6: 4 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
7: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 7-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x2x2x4 = $80
All A's: 1x3x1x2x2x2 = $24
Backup: $24 (2 in 6th)


P5 Grid:

5: 3-6-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
6: 4 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-8 (A), 5-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-11 (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-8 (A), 5-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (1-5-11 in 6th)



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th (6p ET): Speakeasy, 2yo, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 One Timer 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #4 Forbidden Kingdom 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Miss Alacrity 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Time to Party 4-1 2nd


6th: Chandelier (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

I don't get why Grace Adler is supposed to be unbeatable here..

Most Likely: #2 Ain't Easy 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #4 Grace Adler 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Electric Ride 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Desert Dawn 15-1 3rd


7th: Eddie D (G2), 3+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Snapper Sinclair 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Whisper Not 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Gregorian Chant 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Charmaine's Mia 10-1 8th


8th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (SA-GG P4, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Corniche 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #4 Oviatt Class 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Pappacap 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Rockefeller 3-1 4th


9th: CA-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (SA-GG DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Grazeninstilettos 8-1 WON ($12.60)
Next Best: #6 Big Summer 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Chao Mar 12-1 10th
Super Add: #7 O Shugah Mint 15-1 11th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x1x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (4 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: $9 (2-4-7 in 7th)

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/7/1/8) Paid $121.60


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-01-2021 at 09:59 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-01-2021, 09:00 AM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,597
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Give me that 10-1 on Rivendell all day long!!
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  #3  
Old 10-01-2021, 02:14 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
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You'd be hard pressed to ride a horse worse than Eric Cancel just rode Exotic West. WHere was he trying to go exactly? All he has to do is tip out and switch to the left hand stick.

Such a moron
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