6/14: Churchill Downs ($163k P5 C/O)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ $163K P5 C/O


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Flight Time 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Crush It 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Long On Luck 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Match Play 5-1 5th


7th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Its Cold in Dehere 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Carina 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Heavens Whisper 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Princess Trina 8-1 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Magic Star 5-2 DNF-Lost rider
Best Value: #8 Mintd 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Catch a Bid 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Mighty Scarlett 15-1 3rd


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6.5f (DD)

As discovered yesterday, there was no shame for Toledo in losing to Art Collector in his return race. Note that #13 Well Connected HAS drawn in and is a big threat..

Most Likely: #10 Toledo 3-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Background 6-1 9th
[i]Next Best: #13 Well Connected 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 American Butterfly 8-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (Hi-5)/

Experienced runners have edge, but note SW sibling strength among firsters Scoby (Fox Rules), Born Great (Four Wheel Drive) & Oak Hill (Abraham)..

Most Likely: #8 Duplicity 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #4 Substantial 10-1 -
Next Best: #1 Hoof Prince 5-1 -
Exotics Use: #5 Master Ryan 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Born Great 8-1 -


P5 Grid:

6: 5-7-11 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 2-4 (B), 1 (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 8-11 (C)
9: 9-10-13 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)
10: 4-8 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 2-4 (B), 1 (C)
8: 2-8 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
9: 9-10-13 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)
10: 1-4-8 (A), 2-3-5 (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve