|
|
 |
|
#1
09-29-2018, 06:22 AM
|
||||
|
||||
9/29: Belmont ($141k C/O); Santa Anita (6th-12th)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD) $141k DBL P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #3 Guerriere 3-1: Performed well over softish going in France.. 4th Best Value: #7 Complicit 9-2: Pompa-Brown Blame filly a steady improver.. 2nd Next Best: #2 Cool Beans SCR Exotics Use: #6 Warranty 10-1 7th 7th: 77th Vosburgh (G1), 3+, 6f (NYRA Beys P5, G/S, P3, DD) Imperial Hint tunes up for another BC Sprint try.. Most Likely: #6 Imperial Hint 1-5 WON ($2.40) Best Value: #3 Forge 20-1 7th Next Best: #5 Silver Ride 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Still Krz 15-1 5th 8th: 41st Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD) Robert Bruce, Channel Maker & Spring Quality are tactical enough to adjust to the tepid pace outlook, while Carrick, 3/3 on less than firm footing, is a wire threat.. Most Likely: #1 Robert Bruce 2-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Channel Maker 9-2 WON ($12.00) Best Value: #4 Carrick 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Spring Quality 4-1 7th 9th: 39th Pilgrim (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) Engaging group efforting a BC Juvy Turf ticket.. Most Likely: #5 Opry 9-5 4th Best Value: #8 Social Paranoia 10-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Forty Under 6-1 WON ($10.80) Exotics Use: #7 Somelikeithotbrown 7-2 2nd 10th: 99th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD) Diversify other-worldly right now and looking for a JCGC repeat (Tonalist, Flat Out, Curlin, Slew o' Gold, Shuvee, Kelso, et al) here. Is wracking up historic event wins, has worked smashingly out of Whitney and figures to take the race to rivals today.. Most Likely: #6 Diversify 4-5 5th Next Best: #2 Gronkowski 4-1 6th Best Value: #4 Patch 20-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Thunder Snow 6-1 2nd 11th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T Most Likely: #5 Chiara Luna Late SCR (4:56p) Next Best: #2 Ferdinanda 9-2 2nd Best Value: #1 Remarqued 12-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Lion in Wait 7-2 WON ($10.00) P6 Grid: 6: 2/SCR-3-7 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C) 7: 6 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 3 (C) 9: 5-8 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C) 10: 6 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 2-5/SCR (A), 1-4 (B), 3 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192 All A's: 3x1x2x2x1x2 = 24 x $2 = $48 P5 Grid: 7: 6 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1-4-6-8 (A), 3-7 (B), 5 (C) 9: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 9-10 (C) 10: 6 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 1-2/SCR-5 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 1x6x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 4x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50) P4 Grid: 8: 1-4-6-8 (A), 3-7 (B), 5 (C) 9: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 9-10 (C) 10: 6 (A), - (B), 2-4-8 (C) 11: 1-2/SCR-3-4-5 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 4x2x1x5 = 40 x .50 = $20 SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) No extensive analysis, just a heads up on the debut of #2 Improbable from Baffert and the team that brought you Justify. A $200k KEE yearling, the City Zip chestnut has been eye-popping in preparations for career kickoff. Note too that #3 Comical Ghost-SCR'D, by Ghostzapper out of the great Hystericallady and a half to Lady Montdore (Md'O), also bows for Baffert and has worked evenly with American Pharoah favorite Game Winner. O'Neill/Reddam return $500k #6 Tut here and soccer nut Kaleem Shah offers the Callaghan-trained #7 Stretford End, a $600k F-T Florida Sale 2yo. 'Stretford End' is the Western end zone section of Old Trafford, the home pitch of Manchester United.. Most Likely: #2 Improbable 9-5 WON ($2.80) Best Value: #6 Tut 5-1 4th Next Best: #1 Grey Magician 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Stretford End 7-2 2nd 4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5) SPOT PLAY: #8 Omaha Beach (7-2) 2nd ~ 2nd timer from Mandella a half to Take Charge Brandi by War Front that got education in debut and should move forward to annex diploma.. 6th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #4 Game Winner 6-5 WON ($2.60) Next Best: #1 Rowayton 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Gunmetal Gray 9-5 2nd 7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #1 Comma Sister 8-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Tartini 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Icy Street 7-2 7th Super Add: #4 Noivo 4-1 3rd 8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #5 Zusha 6-1 4th Next Best: #1 Conquest Flatterme 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #9 Moon Kitty 4-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Royal Descendant 4-1 7th 9th: Chandelier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, p3, DD) Bit more compelling than the boys event with as many as 5 grappling for momentum in to the BC.. Most Likely: #6 Bellafina 9-5 WON ($3.80) Next Best: #5 Brill 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Del Mar May 5-1 5th 10th: Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5) Tough to separate the top pair.. Most Likely: #8 Cambodia 9-5 3rd Next Best: #6 Vasilika 8-5 WON ($5.20) Best Value: #4 Queen Blossom 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 Paved 8-1 2nd 11th: Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (DD, Hi-5) Sadler & Baffert don't want Accelerate & West Coast gutting one another today, but it looks hard to avoid an authentic confrontation.. Best Value: #5 West Coast 7-5 2nd Next Best: #6 Accelerate 3-5 WON ($2.60) Exotics Use: #4 The Lieutenant 10-1 5th Super Add: #2 Isotherm 15-1 3rd 12th: Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (Hi-5) Best Value: #5 Hey Negrita 5-1 4th Next Best: #10 Miss Bad Behavior 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Spiced Perfection 12-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Pulpit Rider 6-1 - Hi-5 Play: #11 True Royalty 8-1 - P5 Grid: 8: 1-5 (A), 9 (B), 4-6 (C) 9: 4-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 3 (C) 10: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C) 11: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 5-10 (A), 3 (B), 1-6-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 P4 Grid: 9: 2-4-5-6 (A), - (B), 3 (C) 10: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C) 11: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 5-10 (A), 1-3-6-11 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-29-2018 at 07:53 PM. 
|
|
#2
09-29-2018, 09:50 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Thanks Steve. Interested to see a few of the 2YO races.
For your spot play, I like #8 Omaha Beach but feel the same way about #11 Flying Scotsman. Both are eligible to improve. Also interested to see how the #9 Power Player runs with the West-Baffert connection. Good luck to everyone today.
|
|
#3
09-29-2018, 11:22 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#4
09-29-2018, 11:41 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
Should be a really fun afternoon and evening with CD running the night card.. Safe trips, BOL all!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#5
09-29-2018, 12:20 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#6
09-29-2018, 04:05 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Mammoth late SCR from nightcap of #5 Chiara Luna (4:56 PM ET)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
Linear Mode
