Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-22-2018, 09:29 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,677
Default 4/22: Aqueduct (Closing Day-P6/NYRA Bets P5 Must Pay C/O's)

Seasonal debuts for Chad Brown stakes trainees Significant Form (Memories of Silver 8th) & Long Haul Bay (NY-OC/N2X 9th) appear key to both of the unique closing day C/O opportunities..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Tricky race to read to start the P6 with a number of in-and-outers signed on..

Most Likely: #1 American Road 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Proper Freud 3-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Adventist 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Major League 7-2 WON ($7.00)


6th: NY-OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T/Inner-18' (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Way Early 5-2: Weaver debuting 3yo was OK at 2.. 2nd
Next Best: #3 Morrison 3-1: NY bred game last week when nabbed by Hawkish.. WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #9 Rockin Jo 12-1: Returns to turf & doffs hood; Has speed to use.. 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Year of the Kitten 7-2: Even 3rd in Rushaway; Lures Irad.. 7th


7th: NYSS-Times Square, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair have fairly distinct edge over rest with favored A True Giant having every opportunity to lead them on a merry chase..

Most Likely: #5 A True Giant 6-5 GATE SCR
Next Best: #7 Retonova 2-1 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #6 Aqua Bel Sar 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Belleville Spring 8-1 5th


8th: Memories of Silver, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/Outer-24' (DD)

Yes Significant Form is imposing upon return, but Lael homebred Layla Noor SCR'D (Delacour) also back and her MSW/Jessamine efforts at 2 say she's competitive with any advancement as sophomore. Stronach's Sweet Sting (Awesome Again/Perfect Sting) and Bobby Flay's Coffee Crush (Midnight Lute out of wonderful stakes mare Wasted Tears) aren't doorknobs either. Evans/Clement's undefeated Oh Zap gets 1st Lasix. Klarman/Brown offer rare longshot in Wealth Effect. Helluva nice 6 pack..

Most Likely: #2 Significant Form 6-5 WON ($2.30)
Best Value: #6 Sweet Sting 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Coffee Crush 7-2 5th


9th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD)

'17 Bay Shore winner Long Haul Bay chooses to return here for Chad Brown and this is a very sassy bunch of 85-95 Beyer range NY bred sprinters. Even with departure of Bust Another, there is a good deal of speed involved which could well compromise Sciacca & Henning's plucky speedball Tribeca..

Most Likely: #9 Long Haul Bay 2-1 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #3 Summer Bourbon 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Tribeca 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Mighty Zealous 10-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T/Outer-24')

Most Likely: #9 Overnight Success 4-1: Career bow was rained off; Sharp drills.. 2ns
Best Value: #7 Hangman 9-2: Rice firster a full to 2x SW Conquest Daddyo.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Too Much Data 5-2: Santulli/Goldberg debuted for $50k.. WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Indifference 12-1: Gelded, first as a 3 & adds blinks.. 8th


P6 Grid:

5: 1-7 (A), 3-9 (B), 4-5-6 (C)
6: 3-4 (A), 2-7-9 (B), - (C)
7: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 9 (A), - (B), 1-3-9-11 (C)
10: 7-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x1x1x2 = 80 x $2 = $160
All A's: 2x2x2x1x1x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

$2 PICK SIX (3/3/1,5,7/2,5/9,10/8) 5of6 Conso Paid $7.70 x 2 = $15.40


NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

6: 3-4-9 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
7: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 4 (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 9 (A), - (B), 1-3-9-11 (C)
10: 7-8-9 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x1x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 NYRA BETS LATE PICK 5 (3/1,5,7/2,5/9,10/8) Paid $65.00 x 2 = $130.00


P4 Grid:

7: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), 2-3 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 4 (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 3-9 (A), 1 (B), 2-5-8-11 (C)
10: 1-3-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x5 = 135 x .50 = $62.50
All A's: 2x2x2x5 = 40 x .50 = $20

$0.50 PICK FOUR (1,5,7/2,5/9,10/8) Paid $7.50 x 2 = $15.00


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 04-22-2018 at 05:44 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-22-2018, 10:20 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,677
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:46 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.