7/26: Saratoga (Day 5; Honorable Miss)

[Kasept]

10% of the Spa season in the books and meet off to an excellent start on all fronts despite the messy Monday. After faulty ticket structures in the big multis Friday and Saturday, Sunday's $2,940 score in the late P4, as well as steady pops from nice priced value types like Seeking the Soul, provides the template you like to get stands like this started. Hope everyone did well. First full week kicks off today with the jump season commencing in the Kiser Novice Hurdle and a quintet of hard-hitting distaff sprinters in the Honorable Miss..


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Jonathon Kiser Novice, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Streaking Surprising Soul the hopper to catch and beat, but Voss' No Wunder has the kind of speed on the flat that excels on this course and is going to be 3rd choice in the wagering..

Best Value: #2 No Wunder 7-2 7th
Next Best: #5 Surprising Soul 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Miguel Grau 6-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Show Court 3-1 WON ($14.20)


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Favorite Out of Nowhere will find a field to beat, but hard to count on her at this venue where any number of jump up candidates are lying in wait..

Best Value: #6 Janneydancer 8-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #10 Indian Gem 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Out of Nowhere Late SCR
Super Add: #7 Sharp Lacey 15-1 3rd


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Droppers abound in this helter skelter assembly and note the presence of some early meet success outfits like Merrill Scherer (15-1 #5 High Multiple), Lukas/Zayat (6-1 #4 Hay Listen Up) and Levine/Repole (20-1 #11 Emoticon). Given the 'new' track, you want very fit horses going this 9f trip..

Best Value: #2 Howyaformoney 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Combat Controller 9-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Bunyaan 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Ferdinandthemouse 15-1 6th


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Remarkable circumstances bring some famed pedigrees together in this heady 9f allowance. Repole/Levine show up once more, this time with the forward-moving 4yo $700k PA-bred out of the OBS April '15, Blame Us All. Orb full brother Emancipation & Rachel Alexandra half Fayeq will be taking a lot of money, so the 5-1 on Blame Us All should hold..

Best Value: #3 Blame Us All 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Fayeq 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Emancipation 2-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Battle Midway 6-1 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Ruby Dusk 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 A Dixie Twister 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Deltalina 5-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Jazzy Juder 4-1 3rd


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Trouble for Skylar 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #6 Super Stone 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Asiliveandbreathe 4-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Berning Rose 8-1 Late SCR


P5 Grid:

2: 6-10 (A), 7-9/SCR (B), - (C)
3: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-4-10 (C)
4: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C)
5: 7-8 (A), 4 (B), 2-9-10 (C)
6: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5/SCR-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-5 (6/6,7/4/9/1,5,7) Paid $652.00 (A-A-A-C-A)


P4 Grid:

3: 2-6 (A), 3-4-10 (B), - (C)
4: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C)
5: 7-8 (A), 4 (B), 2-9-10 (C)
6: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), 2-5/SCR (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (6,7/4/9/1,5,7) Paid $103.25 (A-A-C-A)


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Difficult to read state bred turf three-turner. Rice wheels Voodoo Song back in 4 days. Dickinson looks tough with Vintage Matters. Improving Clutch Cargo, filly Light Reign (110#) & Man of Wiregrass all have merit. Surface switchers Prophet's Cat & Sandy Strikes have races that can win if OK with lawn. That's everybody except Super Hawk, who's far from impossible. Yikes!

Most Likely: #8 Voodoo Song 3-1 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #3 Vintage Matters 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Sandy Strikes 12-1 DNF
Super Add: #1 Light Reign 20-1 6th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Heldatgunpoint 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Gehrig 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Animal Posse 5-1 WON ($8.70)
Super Add: #9 Uncle Tbone 6-1 -


9th: 26th Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Rail runner Disco Chick is very fast and you can count on Caballero to 'cowboy' (heh, heh) her out of the gate to confront Finley'sluckycharm. Will it be enough to make the streaking Calhoun 4yo vulnerable to Paulassilverlining and/or By the Moon?

Best Value: #5 Finley'sluckycharm 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Paulassilverlining 6-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #2 By the Moon 2-1 3rd


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #13 Prima Attrice 12-1 8th
Next Best: #6 She Remembered 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Grande Beso 10-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Freckle de Freck 8-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-9 (C)
7: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-5-6-7 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
10: 6-13 (A), 2-8-12 (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 3-4-8 (A), 1-2 (B), 5-6-7 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
10: 6-13 (A), 2-8-12 (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[Kitan]

Nice call with that 6 in the 2nd, Steve. Liked her at first but decided to go against because I couldn't recall Reynolds training a winner, or runner-up, at SAR as far as I could remember!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Kitan

Nice call with that 6 in the 2nd, Steve. Liked her at first but decided to go against because I couldn't recall Reynolds training a winner, or runner-up, at SAR as far as I could remember!

Thx K. Thought she looked strong in there and I'm a big Patty Reynolds fan. If his horses look good to you, anywhere, fire away. She got bet. Didn't expect 8-1, but 7-2?

[Alabama Stakes]

The late scratch hurt her price.

[Bogey]

Steve, Strong work again.