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#1
07-09-2016, 05:41 AM
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7/9: Belmont Park (1st-11th)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Bobby on Fleek 7-2 WON ($4.40) Best Value: #9 Ruckus 6-1 10th Next Best: #1e Ward entry 3-1 5th/9th Exotics Use: #3 Condo Prince 12-1 2nd 2nd: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #11 My Kinda Gal 8-1 3rd Next Best: #10 Feeling Bossy 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Maura's Pass 6-1 WON ($10.00) Super Add: #9 Saturday Bliss 12-1 11th 3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Adulator 8-5 2nd Best Value: #1 Dreamsdocometrue 8-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Jimbo Fallon 6-1 WON ($12.40) Exotics Use: #7 So Noted 5-1 4th 4th: MSW, 3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Richmond Street 4-1 5th Next Best: #7 Revved Up 8-5 WON ($4.60) Exotics Use: #1 Decisive Triumph 5-1 6th Super Add: #5 Acoustic 10-1 7th 5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Speeding Comet 8-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Disco Partner 9-5 4th Exotics Use: #10 Changewilldoyagood 6-1 6th Super Add: #1 Chiltern Street 10-1 2nd P5 Grid: 1: 5 (A), 1-9 (B), 2-3-6-8 (C) 2: 10-11 (A), 2-8-9 (B), 3-5-7 (C) 3: 2 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C) 5: 6-9-10 (A), - (B), 1-4-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x5x1x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45 All A's: 1x2x1x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50) P4 Grid: 2: 10-11 (A), 2-3-8-9 (B), 5-7 (C) 3: 2 (A), 1 (B), 3-5-7 (C) 4: 4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C) 5: 6-9-10 (A), 1-4-7 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x1x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50) 6th: 14th Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD) Very well matched group that bodes nicely for the Test upstate with the likes of Kareena expected. D'Amato invader Coppa may bring California heat that overwhelms this group, but remember that until Obviously broke through a couple weeks ago, trainer's shipping mark was ugly. Malibu Stacy broke out off 5 month hiatus and looks to have right style behind pacesetters at nice number.. Best Value: #7 Malibu Stacy 10-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Coppa 2-1 WON ($3.90) Exotics Use: #8 Lost Raven 4-1 4th Super Add: #5 Behrnik's Bank 20-1 5th 7th: 99th Dwyer (G3), 3yo, 1m (G/S, P3, DD) Understand looking to beat Economic Model, but those carping over his Easy Goer perfect trip should acknowledge that stalkers sitting behind pace duels often figure to be a recipient in those scenarios; just like in this spot today. Didn't expect Voluntario to show up in the tabs but hard to deny his consistent form against real company.. Most Likely: #6 Economic Model 1-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Voluntario 8-1 4th Next Best: #8 Fish Trappe Road 8-1 WON ($8.70) Exotics Use: #5 Unbridled Outlaw 15-1 6th 8th: 67th Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Euros look more imposing here than in girls' race. On the local front, with all the cooing over Highland Sky and Camelot Kitten, why isn't Toughest 'Ombre getting attention? After wide berth and disadvantageous front end voyage in Penine Ridge, Albertrani colt gets cozy draw and big pilot upgrade to Franco. Colt has come alive with move to lawn and appears primed for jump forward in big spot.. Most Likely: #7 Long Island Sound 7-2 6th Best Value: #1 Toughest 'Ombre 30-1 12th Next Best: #13 Deauville 4-1 WON ($14.60) Exotics Use: #4 Highland Sky 8-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Beach Patrol 12-1 3rd 9th: 130th Suburban (G2), 4+, 10f (P3, DD) For P4 purposes, I'm going to join Jimmy Jerkens and put a line through Effinex miscue at Downs. His good races are better than these.. Most Likely: #5 Effinex 5-2 WON ($6.30) Next Best: #3 Shaman Ghost 5-1 5th Best Value: #6 Turco Bravo 20-1 6th Exotics Use: #4 Eagle 5-1 4th 10th: 38th Belmont Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-IT (DD) As discussed this week on ATR, strong group of soph fillies assemble for this led by BC Juvy Filly Turf star Catch a Glimpse who has gone from strength to strength. Won't be surprised if slower early fractions make her just as tough late at this distance as she's been during extended win streak going shorter. That said, Time and Motion and Harmonize will be more attractively priced and have plenty going for them. As with Toughest 'Ombre, 30-1 Last Waltz should not be ignored at the least as a late running exotics player.. Most Likely: #4 Time and Motion 6-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Harmonize 10-1 5th Next Best: #12 Catch a Glimpse 2-1 WON ($8.80) Exotics Use: #7 Ballydoyle 3-1 13th Super Add: #9 Last Waltz 30-1 7th 11th: 9th Belmont Sprint Championship, 3+, 7f Lynch has said he's looking for Private Zone to be less aggressive up front and Clocker Report from Vesce indicates he's been trained that way. Respect but vulnerable.. Best Value: #8 Ready for Rye 8-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Private Zone 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #9 Marking 4-1 2nd Super Add: #5 A.P. Indian 10-1 WON ($13.80) P4 Grid: 8: 1-7 (A), 4-13 (B), 5-6-9 (C) 9: 5 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6 (C) 10: 4-6-7-12 (A), 2-5-8-9 (B), 1-3-10-11-13 (C) 11: 2-8-9 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x1x8x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x1x4x3 = 24 ($12 for .50) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-10-2016 at 10:46 AM. 
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#3
07-09-2016, 07:36 AM
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Last edited by jms62 : 07-09-2016 at 08:03 AM.
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#4
07-09-2016, 09:01 AM
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Noble Bird a SCR from the Suburban..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
07-09-2016, 09:21 AM
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#6
07-09-2016, 09:34 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
07-09-2016, 09:44 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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