5/12: Churchill Downs ($343k .20 Must Pay P6)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

.20 Must Pay P6 starts here..

Most Likely: #9 K One Kobra 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Playing a Joke 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Nachas and Joy 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 National Defense 5-1 WON ($10.80)


4th: MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Katie's Warrior 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Dixie Jewel 5-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Explosive Vacation 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Following a Dream 15-1 3rd


5th: MCLM/$10k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Halo Not Included 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #6 Ripe Attack 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Bet With Charlie 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Detroit Cowboy Gate SCR


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Austin's Argument 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Buck Magic 6-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #9 Sail Maker 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 All Aboard 5-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, F^&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #8 Mercer Mill Mae 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Conquest Curlgirl 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #6 True Egyptian 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Purim's Danawa 6-1 2nd


8th: MCLM/$10k, F&M-3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Miss Hur 7-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Neak Up On Ya 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Supplement 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mzapropriatedfunds 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Hi-5 Play: #12 Prime Money 12-1 11th


P6 Grid:

3: 4-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-3-5-11 (C)
4: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 1-3/SCR (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), 3-6-9 (C)
7: 2-8 (A), 1-6 (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-10 (C)

Full (A/B/C with 2 B's): $182.40
Full (A/B/C) with 1 B): $124.80
Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x1x4x4 = 768 x .20 = $153.60
All A's: 2x3x2x1x2x2 = 48 x .20 = $9.60


P4 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), 1-3/SCR (B), 5-8 (C)
6: 2 (A), 6 (B), 3-4-7-9 (C)
7: 2-8 (A), 1-6 (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
Full (A/B/C): $72
All A's: 2x1x2x2 = $8

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/4/5-6-2/2-5) Pays $45.45 (x 2) = $90.90


Good luck!
Steve