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#1
09-28-2013, 06:00 AM
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9/28: Belmont Park, Santa Anita (Super Saturday Cards)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P5, P3, DD) Thoroughly wild opener with easily half the field eligible for honors. Include plenty of prices in your P5 play.. Best Value: #11 Fourseventeen 6-1 6th Next Best: #4 Iron Power 5-1 WON ($15.60) Exotics Use: #6 River Tune 6-1 4th Super Add: #2 Mr Rosenthal 8-1 2n d 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD) 2nd timer Misconnect a full brother of recently retired Winslow Homer; Pachelbel the first foal out of the 5x G1 winning Music Note; Tourist a half to the solid Michael With Us; Justin Nguyen a son of the MSW sprint mare Coli Bear.. Most Likely: #8 Misconnect 2-1 WON ($3.50) Next Best: #3 Endowment Manager 7-2 2nd Best Value: #6 Justin Nguyen 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Pachelbel 5-1 6th Super Add: #5 Tourist 12-1 3rd 3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) Doubt 12-1 holds on Survival who is a half to Point of Entry/Pine Island; Genuine Flare a half to Latent Heat; This Guy Is Blue dam Kim's Blue is a half to Lotta Kim, dam of Rachel Alexandra; Behedeman a full brother of Secret Circle; Mack Miller a half to Rothko; Sir J.J. out of 6x LA-bred SW Destiny Calls (With Approval) who won 3x on the lawn.. Best Value: #3 Survival 12-1 3rd Next Best: #10 Storming Inti 3-1 WON ($4.70) Exotics Use: #5 Veya 8-1 7th Super Add: #7 Sir J.J. 8-1 10th 4th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Crafty Dreamer, flashed real potential as a 3yo before going to the shelf a year. Iselin homebred returned meekly at Spa but has drilled three times since, an excellent sign. May be worth standing with in murky field that will require wide coverage in you don't believe in any particular player.. Most Likely: #3 Crafty Dreamer 5-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Reggie D 7-2 4th Best Value: #1 Ambassador Bridge 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Meet the Mets 8-1 10th 5th: 75th Beldame (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Royal Delta 3-5 2nd Next Best: #2 Princess of Sylmar 2-1 WON ($) Exotics Use: #5 Centring 8-1 3rd <$75 P5 Play: 1: 2-3-4-6-8-10-11-13 2: 3-8 3: 2-3-5-7-8-10 4: 3 5: 4 8x2x6x1x1 = 96 x .50 = $48 <$75 P4 Play: 2: 3-8 3: 2-3-5-7-8-10 4: 1-3-5-6 5: 2-4 2x6x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 6th: 33rd Kelso (G2), 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD) ATR regs Serling, Tammaro and Beer all sided with 7-2 Souper Speedy over the 2 ML choices (7-5 Graydar; 5-2 LaPenta entry), but also acknowledged that if track continues to play to inside speed, Graydar may be impossible to reel in. Think you need to cover all 3 entities (#'s 1-2-5) in multis.. Most Likely: #2 Graydar 7-5 WON ($3.80) Next Best: #1e LaPenta entry 5-2 5th/7th Exotics Use: #5 Souper Speedy 7-2 4th 7th: 74th Vosburgh (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Interesting edition of this in division that has been searching for a leader all year. Note The Lumber Guy -- defending winner of the event -- is in here at 8-1. Has blistered morning watches since first off layoff try upstate and will sit ideal trip behind the 3 speeds (Bahamian Squall, Strapping Groom, Private Zone). Hushion may have Schwartz NY homebred approaching best 3yo form and today would be the day to latch on.. Best Value: #5 The Lumber Guy 8-1 7th Next Best: #2 Justin Phillip 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Private Zone 4-1 WON ($9.20) Super Add: #1 Forty Tales 7-2 4th 8th: 36th Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e Goldberg/Santulli entry 8-5 WON ($3.20)/2nd Best Value: #3 Somali Lemonade 8-1 6th Next Best: #6 Qushchi 3-1 4th (3rd for wagering) Exotics Use: #2 Mystical Star 4-1 3rd (2nd for wagering) 9th: 37th Joe Hirsch (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD) Adding 'now' horse Slumber to Sword Dancer result.. Most Likely: #2e Ramsey entry 8-5 2nd/3rd/9th Best Value: #4 Slumber 6-1 4th Next Best: #5 Twilight Eclipse 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 Nutello 8-1 8th 10th: 95th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD) Can Cross Traffic take his speed 10f? Note that Pletcher notched up his typical 4f drilling to 5/8ths readying the Whitney winner for this spot and possible BC Classic try. Flat Out meanwhile can perch himself in striking distance and attack the front runner at Alvarado's discretion. Orb, Palace Malice, Last Gunfighter and Alpha all capable for varying degrees of board success, but if there's a price horse to be employed to boost exotics, it's the Brazilian import Vitoria Olimpica (20-1) who is 3rd/layoff, impressed upstate and bred for trip.. Most Likely: #6 Flat Out 3-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Cross Traffic 5-2 7th Exotics Use: #4 Vitoria Olimpica 20-1 4th Super Add: #3 Last Gunfighter 10-1 5th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-5-8 8: 1-3 9: 2-4 (1-3-5) 10: 6-8 (3-4-7) Narrow: 3x2x2x2 = $24 Wide: 3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 11th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T Fun wagering finale.. Most Likely: #5 Coriander 4-1 WON ($9.40) Best Value: #10 Given Fire 20-1 7th Next Best: #13 Live Life Fast 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 Rosalie's Pleasure 6-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Amazing Abby 15-1 11th SANTA ANITA PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: 2nd Chandelier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 She's a Tiger 5-2 2nd Next Best: #1 Fascinating 2-1 3rd Best Value: #6 Belle of the Fleet 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Antiquity 5-1 7th 6th: 2nd Rodea Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Marketing Mix 7-5 2nd Next Best: #3 Tiz Flirtacious 8-5 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #1 Topic 12-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Starstruck 10-1 4th 7th: 2nd FrontRunner (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Ontology 10-1 8th Next Best: #4 Can the Man 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Dance With Fate 7-2 2nd Super Use: #6 Tamarando 4-1 4th 8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Macaabra 7-2 7th Best Value: #1 One Pure Creation 12-1 8th Next Best: #12 Burns Turn 5-1 9th Exotics Use: #6 Boller Bomb 10-1 2nd 9th: 2nd Zenyatta (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Include Me Out 9-2 7th Next Best: #3 Beholder 3-1 WON ($5.20) Exotics Use: #6 Authenticity 5-2 2nd Super Add: #7 Joyful Victory 2-1 3rd 10th: 2nd Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (DD) Most Likely: #7 Paynter 5-2 2nd Best Value: #2 Golden Ticket 5-1 4th Next Best: #10 Mucho Macho Man 3-1 WON ($5.20) Exotics Use: #6 Take Control 5-1 10th 11th: 2nd Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #7 Judy in Disguise 5-1 4th Best Value: #8 Pontchatrain 6-1 WON ($13.00) Next Best: #11 Unusual Way 7-2 9th Exotics Use: #9 Heir Kitty 5-1 7th Super/Hi-5: #2 Lilbourne Eliza 12-1 11th <$50 P4 Play: 8: 1-2-12 9: 3-4-6-7 10: 2-6-7-10 11: 7-8 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-28-2013 at 10:43 PM. 
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#2
09-28-2013, 07:53 AM
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Best of luck today. Gorgeous day for racing too.
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#3
09-28-2013, 08:38 AM
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Quote:
Will make Tina drive to start and try to get the Santa Anita action posted... Safe trips and G/L all...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
09-28-2013, 10:28 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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