11/15: Churchill Downs (5th-10th)

[Kasept]

Wednesday action at Aqueduct proved as fun and quirky as advertised with 2 horses paying more than $100 with outlandish payoffs in almost all multi-race sequences inclusing a solo winner of the P6 netting $287k!. Solid slate Thursday at Louisville..


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Sorry. Try as I might, can't get past the obvious..

Most Likely: #2 Sweet Cassiopeia 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Nisteltoe 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Kiss in the Forest 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Well Deserved 2-1 5th


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Bold Tap 20-1 5th
Next Best: #3 True Jean 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Corner Girl 8-1 8th
Super Add: #13 Europa Royale 5-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Mixed bag of OK pedigrees with variety of first & second timers. Gator Zone is a half to Klein Family's neat MGSW Miz Ida who goes in the Mrs. Revere Saturday..

Most Likely: #9 Montana Native 7-2 4th
Best Value: #12 Gator Zone 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Lady Stonewall 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Anna Pavlova 8-1 10th


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

3-1 fave Dark Nebula is better on synth/turf. Looking elsewhere..

Most Likely: #7 Witty Gal 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Sweetheartsforever 20-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Take Interest 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Admired 5-1 8th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Film Making 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Soul Sacrifice 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Grand Arch 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Dreams Cut Short 8-1 6th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Caddo Lake 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Dr Ballenger 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Liberty Bound 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Firetack 6-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Sixoeight 9-2 8th


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 3-8
7: 9
8: 3-4-7-8
9: 3-8-9
10: 5-7-9-10

2x1x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-9-12
8: 3-4-7-8
9: 3-8-9
10: 5-7-9-10

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve